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A threshold autoregressive (TAR) model is a powerful tool for analyzing nonlinear multivariate time series, which includes special cases like self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models and vector autoregressive (VAR) models. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-07 L. H. Vanegas , S. A. Calderón , L. M. Rondón

Variable selection in ultra-high dimensional linear regression is often preceded by a screening step to significantly reduce the dimension. Here we develop a Bayesian variable screening method (BITS) guided by the posterior model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-28 Run Wang , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

Posterior distributions arising in ill-posed Bayesian inverse problems are often both analytically intractable and highly sensitive to parameters of the chosen prior family. We aim to understand the sensitivity of intractable posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-20 Yucong Liu , Zilai Si , Alexander Strang

Variational inference is an alternative estimation technique for Bayesian models. Recent work shows that variational methods provide consistent estimation via efficient, deterministic algorithms. Other tools, such as model selection using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-01 Mark J. Meyer , Selina Carter , Elizabeth J. Malloy

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Connor Smith , Samuel Muller

We consider Bayesian inference in inverse regression problems where the objective is to infer about unobserved covariates from observed responses and covariates. We establish posterior consistency of such unobserved covariates in Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Modeling nonstationary processes is of paramount importance to many scientific disciplines including environmental science, ecology, and finance, among others. Consequently, flexible methodology that provides accurate estimation across a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-13 Wen-Hsi Yang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

The reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model can be interpreted as a supervised factor model, where two factor modelings are simultaneously applied to response and predictor spaces. This article introduces a new model, called vector…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Ruey Tsay

We consider the joint inference of regression coefficients and the inverse covariance matrix for covariates in high-dimensional probit regression, where the predictors are both relevant to the binary response and functionally related to one…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-15 Xuan Cao , Kyoungjae Lee

Vector autoregressions (VARs) are popular model for analyzing multivariate economic time series. However, VARs can be over-parameterized if the numbers of variables and lags are moderately large. Tensor VAR, a recent solution to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Yiyong Luo , Jim E. Griffin

We develop a Bayesian variable selection method, called SVEN, based on a hierarchical Gaussian linear model with priors placed on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. Sparsity is achieved by using degenerate spike…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 Dongjin Li , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

The quantile varying coefficient (VC) model can flexibly capture dynamical patterns of regression coefficients. In addition, due to the quantile check loss function, it is robust against outliers and heavy-tailed distributions of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Fei Zhou , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu

The recently developed variational autoencoders (VAEs) have proved to be an effective confluence of the rich representational power of neural networks with Bayesian methods. However, most work on VAEs use a rather simple prior over the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-29 Prasoon Goyal , Zhiting Hu , Xiaodan Liang , Chenyu Wang , Eric Xing

Sparse deep learning aims to address the challenge of huge storage consumption by deep neural networks, and to recover the sparse structure of target functions. Although tremendous empirical successes have been achieved, most sparse deep…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Jincheng Bai , Qifan Song , Guang Cheng

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) are a popular class of deep generative models with many variants and a wide range of applications. Improvements upon the standard VAE mostly focus on the modelling of the posterior distribution over the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-02 James Langley , Miguel Monteiro , Charles Jones , Nick Pawlowski , Ben Glocker