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Analysis of player tracking data for American football is in its infancy, since the National Football League (NFL) released its Next Gen Stats tracking data publicly for the first time in December 2018. While tracking datasets in other…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-16 Rishav Dutta , Ronald Yurko , Samuel Ventura

Player tracking data have provided great opportunities to generate novel insights into understudied areas of American football, such as pre-snap motion. Using a Bayesian multilevel model with heterogeneous variances, we provide an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko

Most historical National Football League (NFL) analysis, both mainstream and academic, has relied on public, play-level data to generate team and player comparisons. Given the number of oft omitted variables that impact on-field results,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-14 Michael J. Lopez

Defensive Pass Interference (DPI) is one of the most impactful penalties in the NFL. DPI is a spot foul, yielding an automatic first down to the team in possession. With such an influence on the game, referees have no room for a mistake. It…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Arian Skoki , Jonatan Lerga , Ivan Štajduhar

Using high-resolution player tracking data made available by the National Football League (NFL) for their 2019 Big Data Bowl competition, we introduce the Expected Hypothetical Completion Probability (EHCP), a objective framework for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Sameer K. Deshpande , Katherine Evans

The process of decision-making in football is characterized by a complex interplay between spatial positioning, opponent pressure, and player intent. This work introduces a Graph Neural Network (GNN) framework designed to predict Receiver…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Gabriel Masella , Giuseppe Alessio D'Inverno , Max Goldsmith , Gianluigi Rozza

Tracking data in the NFL is a sequence of spatial-temporal measurements that vary in length depending on the duration of the play. In this paper, we demonstrate how model-based curve clustering of observed player trajectories can be used to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-17 Dani Chu , Matthew Reyers , James Thomson , Lucas Wu

In sports analytics, player tracking data have driven significant advancements in the task of player evaluation. We present a novel generative framework for evaluating the observed frame-by-frame player positioning against a distribution of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko

Unlike other major professional sports, American football lacks comprehensive statistical ratings for player evaluation that are both reproducible and easily interpretable in terms of game outcomes. Existing methods for player evaluation in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Ronald Yurko , Samuel Ventura , Maksim Horowitz

American football is an increasingly popular sport, with a growing audience in many countries in the world. The most watched American football league in the world is the United States' National Football League (NFL), where every offensive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Gustavo Pompeu da Silva , Rafael de Andrade Moral

Tackling is a fundamental defensive move in American football, with the main purpose of stopping the forward motion of the ball-carrier. However, current tackling metrics are manually recorded outcomes that are inherently flawed due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Quang Nguyen , Ruitong Jiang , Meg Ellingwood , Ronald Yurko

Predicting outcomes in sports is important for teams, leagues, bettors, media, and fans. Given the growing amount of player tracking data, sports analytics models are increasingly utilizing spatially-derived features built upon player…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-29 Peter Xenopoulos , Claudio Silva

Player attribution in American football remains an open problem due to the complex nature of twenty-two players interacting on the field, but the granularity of player tracking data provides ample opportunity for novel approaches. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Ronald Yurko , Quang Nguyen , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

Although the data-driven analysis of football players' performance has been developed for years, most research only focuses on the on-ball event including shots and passes, while the off-ball movement remains a little-explored area in this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva , Mike Caine

Continuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were…

In American football, a pass rush is an attempt by the defensive team to disrupt the offense and prevent the quarterback (QB) from completing a pass. Existing metrics for assessing pass rush performance are either discrete-time quantities…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-08-01 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko , Gregory J. Matthews

In recent years, data-driven approaches have become a popular tool in a variety of sports to gain an advantage by, e.g., analysing potential strategies of opponents. Whereas the availability of play-by-play or player tracking data in sports…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Marius Ötting

Player tracking data remains out of reach for many professional football teams as their video feeds are not sufficiently high quality for computer vision technologies to be used. To help bridge this gap, we present a method that can…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Matthew J. Penn , Christl A. Donnelly , Samir Bhatt

Line-breaking passes (LBPs) are crucial tactical actions in football, allowing teams to penetrate defensive lines and access high-value spaces. In this study, we present an unsupervised, clustering-based framework for detecting and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Oktay Karakuş , Hasan Arkadaş

This article is motivated by soccer positional passing networks collected across multiple games. We refer to these data as replicated spatial passing networks---to accurately model such data it is necessary to take into account the spatial…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-03-06 Shaobo Han , David B. Dunson
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