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Methods utilizing instrumental variables have been a fundamental statistical approach to estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, usually occurring in non-randomized observational data common to fields such as economics and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Charles Spanbauer , Wei Pan

Ultrametric matrices are a class of covariance matrices that arise in latent tree models. As a parameter space in a statistical model, the set of ultrametric matrices is neither convex nor a smooth manifold. Focus in the literature has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-28 Tsung-Hung Yao , Zhenke Wu , Karthik Bharath , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

Variational inference is a popular technique to approximate a possibly intractable Bayesian posterior with a more tractable one. Recently, boosting variational inference has been proposed as a new paradigm to approximate the posterior by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-08 Francesco Locatello , Rajiv Khanna , Joydeep Ghosh , Gunnar Rätsch

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

Continuous-time birth-death-shift (BDS) processes are frequently used in stochastic modeling, with many applications in ecology and epidemiology. In particular, such processes can model evolutionary dynamics of transposable elements -…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-02 Jason Xu , Peter Guttorp , Midori Kato-Maeda , Vladimir N. Minin

When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-19 Yuling Yao , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

Missing data are often dealt with multiple imputation. A crucial part of the multiple imputation process is selecting sensible models to generate plausible values for incomplete data. A method based on posterior predictive checking is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Mingyang Cai , Stef van Buuren , Gerko Vink

Bayesian inference for nonlinear diffusions, observed at discrete times, is a challenging task that has prompted the development of a number of algorithms, mainly within the computational statistics community. We propose a new direction,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery , Alexandros Beskos

We propose small-variance asymptotic approximations for the inference of tumor heterogeneity (TH) using next-generation sequencing data. Understanding TH is an important and open research problem in biology. The lack of appropriate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-17 Yanxun Xu , Peter Mueller , Yuan Yuan , Kamalakar Gulukota , Yuan Ji

In many application settings, the data have missing entries which make analysis challenging. An abundant literature addresses missing values in an inferential framework: estimating parameters and their variance from incomplete tables. Here,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-22 Julie Josse , Jacob M. Chen , Nicolas Prost , Erwan Scornet , Gaël Varoquaux

Recently-developed genotype imputation methods are a powerful tool for detecting untyped genetic variants that affect disease susceptibility in genetic association studies. However, existing imputation methods require individual-level…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-11-15 Xiaoquan Wen , Matthew Stephens

Rooted bifurcating trees are mathematical objects used to model evolutionary relationships and arise naturally in both coalescent theory and phylogenetics. Recent numerical representations of tree topologies, known as F-matrices, allow for…

Many software engineering tasks, such as testing, and anomaly detection can benefit from the ability to infer a behavioral model of the software.Most existing inference approaches assume access to code to collect execution sequences. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Foozhan Ataiefard , Mohammad Jafar Mashhadi , Hadi Hemmati , Niel Walkinshaw

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

Big data analytics has opened new avenues in economic research, but the challenge of analyzing datasets with tens of millions of observations is substantial. Conventional econometric methods based on extreme estimators require large amounts…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-02 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Genetic sequence data of pathogens are increasingly used to investigate transmission dynamics in both endemic diseases and disease outbreaks; such research can aid in development of appropriate interventions and in design of studies to…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-01-24 Hesam Montazeri , Susan Little , Niko Beerenwinkel , Victor DeGruttola

The introduction of new generation hyperspectral satellite sensors, combined with advancements in deep learning methodologies, has significantly enhanced the ability to discriminate detailed land-cover classes at medium-large scales.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Mattia Ferrari , Lorenzo Bruzzone

We demonstrate the use of computational phylogenetic techniques to solve a central problem in inferential network monitoring. More precisely, we design a novel algorithm for multicast-based delay inference, i.e. the problem of…

概率论 · 数学 2011-09-07 Shankar Bhamidi , Ram Rajagopal , Sebastien Roch

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

Integrating non-probability samples into finite-population inference typically requires modeling unknown selection probabilities under a missing-at-random (MAR) assumption that is difficult to verify. We propose a design-based alternative…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Andrius Čiginas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Jae Kwang Kim
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