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We derive nonparametric confidence intervals for the eigenvalues of the Hessian at modes of a density estimate. This provides information about the strength and shape of modes and can also be used as a significance test. We use a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Christopher Genovese , Marco Perone-Pacifico , Isabella Verdinelli , Larry Wasserman

Sparse linear regression methods such as Lasso require a tuning parameter that depends on the noise variance, which is typically unknown and difficult to estimate in practice. In the presence of heavy-tailed noise or adversarial outliers,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-17 Takeyuki Sasai , Hironori Fujisawa

I propose a new type of confidence interval for correct asymptotic inference after using data to select a model of interest without assuming any model is correctly specified. This hybrid confidence interval is constructed by combining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-25 Adam McCloskey

In this paper we develop a nonparametric regression method that is simultaneously adaptive over a wide range of function classes for the regression function and robust over a large collection of error distributions, including those that are…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-10-28 Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

Accumulated Local Effects (ALE) is a widely-used explainability method for isolating the average effect of a feature on the output, because it handles cases with correlated features well. However, it has two limitations. First, it does not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-21 Vasilis Gkolemis , Theodore Dalamagas , Eirini Ntoutsi , Christos Diou

Estimation of signal-to-noise ratios and residual variances in high-dimensional linear models has various important applications including, e.g. heritability estimation in bioinformatics. One commonly used estimator, usually referred to as…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-09 Xiaohan Hu , Xiaodong Li

To estimate a sparse linear model from data with Gaussian noise, consilience from lasso and compressed sensing literatures is that thresholding estimators like lasso and the Dantzig selector have the ability in some situations to identify…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-14 Jairo Diaz-Rodriguez , Sylvain Sardy

Hard Thresholding Pursuit (HTP) has aroused increasing attention for its robust theoretical guarantees and impressive numerical performance in non-convex optimization. In this paper, we introduce a novel tuning-free procedure, named…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-07 Yanhang Zhang , Zhifan Li , Shixiang Liu , Xueqin Wang , Jianxin Yin

Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) has many good properties. For example, the asymptotic variance of MLE solution attains equality of the asymptotic Cram{\'e}r-Rao lower bound (efficiency bound), which is the minimum possible variance for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Song Liu , Takafumi Kanamori , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yu Chen

A novel IV estimation method, that we term Locally Trimmed LS (LTLS), is developed which yields estimators with (mixed) Gaussian limit distributions in situations where the data may be weakly or strongly persistent. In particular, we allow…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-24 Zhishui Hu , Ioannis Kasparis , Qiying Wang

Transfer learning techniques aim to leverage information from multiple related datasets to enhance prediction quality against a target dataset. Such methods have been adopted in the context of high-dimensional sparse regression, and some…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-31 Koki Okajima , Tomoyuki Obuchi

We advance the theory of parametric bootstrap in constructing highly efficient empirical best (EB) prediction intervals of small area means. The coverage error of such a prediction interval is of the order $O(m^{-3/2})$, where $m$ is the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-12 Yuting Chen , Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

High-dimensional covariance estimation is notoriously sensitive to outliers. While statistically optimal estimators exist for general heavy-tailed distributions, they often rely on computationally expensive techniques like semidefinite…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Even He

This paper provides general expression for Bartlett and Bartlett-type correction factors for the likelihood ratio and gradient statistics to test the dispersion parameter in heteroscedastic symmetric nonlinear models. This class of…

This article introduces the Modified Parameterized Leapfrog Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (MPL-HMC) method, a novel extension of HMC addressing key limitations through tunable integration parameters $\alpha(\delta t)$ and $\beta(\delta t)$,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Sourabh Bhattacharya

Accumulated Local Effect (ALE) is a method for accurately estimating feature effects, overcoming fundamental failure modes of previously-existed methods, such as Partial Dependence Plots. However, ALE's approximation, i.e. the method for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Vasilis Gkolemis , Theodore Dalamagas , Christos Diou

The least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator is a renowned robust alternative to the classic least squares estimator and is popular in location, regression, machine learning, and AI literature. Many studies exist on LTS, including its…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-10 Yijun Zuo

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

Structured Latent Attribute Models (SLAMs) are a family of discrete latent variable models widely used in education, psychology, and epidemiology to model multivariate categorical data. A SLAM assumes that multiple discrete latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-12 Yuqi Gu , Gongjun Xu