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This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Accurate short-term solar and wind power predictions play an important role in the planning and operation of power systems. However, the short-term power prediction of renewable energy has always been considered a complex regression…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-08 Wenlong Liao , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Jayakrishnan Radhakrishna Pillai , Zhe Yang , Kuangpu Liu

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

We present an online stochastic model predictive control framework for demand charge management for a grid-connected consumer with attached electrical energy storage. The consumer we consider must satisfy an inflexible but stochastic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-07 Benjamin Flamm , Guillermo Ramos , Annika Eichler , John Lygeros

This paper proposes online algorithms for dynamic matching markets in power distribution systems, which at any real-time operation instance decides about matching -- or delaying the supply of -- flexible loads with available renewable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-17 Deepan Muthirayan , Masood Parvania , Pramod P. Khargonekar

Implementing state estimation in low and medium voltage power distribution is still challenging given the scale of many networks and the reliance of traditional methods on a large number of measurements. This paper proposes a method to…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Roel Dobbe , Werner van Westering , Stephan Liu , Daniel Arnold , Duncan Callaway , Claire Tomlin

We present a data-driven approach to efficiently approximate nonlinear transient dynamics in solid-state systems. Our proposed machine-learning model combines a dimensionality reduction stage with a nonlinear vector autoregression scheme.…

By significant improvements in modern electrical systems, planning for unit commitment and power dispatching of them are two big concerns between the researchers. Short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in planning and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-01 Kasun Chandrarathna , Arman Edalati , AhmadReza Fourozan tabar

We propose a framework employing stochastic differential equations to facilitate the long-term stability analysis of power grids with intermittent wind power generations. This framework takes into account the discrete dynamics which play a…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-03-10 Xiaozhe Wang , Tao Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu

Leveraging spatio-temporal correlations among wind farms can significantly enhance the accuracy of ultra-short-term wind power forecasting. However, the complex and dynamic nature of these correlations presents significant modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Xiaochong Dong , Xuemin Zhang , Ming Yang , Shengwei Mei

Multiscale stochastic dynamical systems have been widely adopted to a variety of scientific and engineering problems due to their capability of depicting complex phenomena in many real world applications. This work is devoted to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Lingyu Feng , Ting Gao , Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan

Ensuring the frequency stability of electric grids with increasing renewable resources is a key problem in power system operations. In recent years, a number of advanced controllers have been designed to optimize frequency control. These…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-23 Wenqi Cui , Guanya Shi , Yuanyuan Shi , Baosen Zhang

Stochastic state estimation methods for continuum robots (CRs) often struggle to balance accuracy and computational efficiency. While several recent works have explored sliding-window formulations for CRs, these methods are limited to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Spencer Teetaert , Sven Lilge , Jessica Burgner-Kahrs , Timothy D. Barfoot

The non-stationarity characteristic of the solar power renders traditional point forecasting methods to be less useful due to large prediction errors. This results in increased uncertainties in the grid operation, thereby negatively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

The deepening of the penetration of renewable energy is challenging how power system operators cope with their associated variability and uncertainty. The inherent flexibility of dispathchable assets present in power systems, which is often…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-08-19 Mohamed Awadalla , François Bouffard

A multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning is designed in this paper to forecast the joint cumulative distribution functions (JCDFs) of multiple security margins in power systems. Differing from existing multivariate…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-05-10 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun , Wenqi Huang

Task-based programming models are emerging as a promising alternative to make the most of multi-/many-core systems. These programming models rely on runtime systems, and their goal is to improve application performance by properly…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2020-09-24 Antoni Navarro , Arthur F. Lorenzon , Eduard Ayguadé , Vicenç Beltran

To enhance the accuracy of power load forecasting in wind farms, this study introduces an advanced combined forecasting method that integrates Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with an Improved Particle Swarm Optimization (IPSO)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Qiang Xie