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We investigate the impact of Knightian uncertainty on the optimal timing policy of an ambiguity averse decision maker in the case where the underlying factor dynamics follow a multidimensional Brownian motion and the exercise payoff depends…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-10 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Sören Christensen

We consider the impact of ambiguity on the optimal timing of a class of two-dimensional integral option contracts when the exercise payoff is a positively homogeneous measurable function. Hence, the considered class of exercise payoffs…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-19 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Sören Christensen

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

In this paper we consider stochastic optimization problems for an ambiguity averse decision maker who is uncertain about the parameters of the underlying process. In a first part we consider problems of optimal stopping under drift…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-19 Sören Christensen

We study an optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, where the state process is a multi-dimensional continuous strong Markov process. The discount function is taken to be log sub-additive, capturing decreasing impatience…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-14 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhenhua Wang

Aiming to analyze the impact of environmental transition on the value of assets and on asset stranding, we study optimal stopping and divestment timing decisions for an economic agent whose future revenues depend on the realization of a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-27 Andrea Mazzon , Peter Tankov

This paper re-examines the use of response time to infer problem complexity. It revisits a canonical Wald model of optimal stopping, taking signal-to-noise ratio as a measure of problem complexity. While choice quality is monotone in…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-19 Duarte Gonçalves

Optimization is an important module of modern machine learning applications. Tremendous efforts have been made to accelerate optimization algorithms. A common formulation is achieving a lower loss at a given time. This enables a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Zhonglin Xie , Yiman Fong , Haoran Yuan , Zaiwen Wen

This paper studies sequential information acquisition by an ambiguity-averse decision maker (DM), who decides how long to collect information before taking an irreversible action. The agent optimizes against the worst-case belief and…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-06 Sarah Auster , Yeon-Koo Che , Konrad Mierendorff

We propose and analyze a continuous-time robust reinforcement learning framework for optimal stopping under ambiguity. In this framework, an agent chooses a robust exploratory stopping time motivated by two objectives: robust…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-17 Junyan Ye , Hoi Ying Wong , Kyunghyun Park

For optimal stopping problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent level of time-inconsistency by taking the time needed to turn the naive strategies into the sophisticated ones. In particular, when in a repeated…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-22 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

In a classical optimal stopping problem in continuous time, the agent can choose any stopping time without constraint. Dupuis and Wang (Optimal stopping with random intervention times, Advances in Applied Probability, 34, 141--157, 2002)…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-23 David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

The quality of rationales is essential in the reasoning capabilities of language models. Rationales not only enhance reasoning performance in complex natural language tasks but also justify model decisions. However, obtaining impeccable…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Hazel H. Kim

Many decision problems in economics, information technology, and industry can be transformed to an optimal stopping of adapted random vectors with some utility function over the set of Markov times with respect to filtration build by the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-04 Krzysztof Szajowski

Optimization is finding the best solution, which mathematically amounts to locating the global minimum of some cost function. Optimization is traditionally automated with digital or quantum computers, each having their limitations and none…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-11-16 Natalia B. Janson , Christopher J. Marsden

The problem of constrained Markov decision process is considered. An agent aims to maximize the expected accumulated discounted reward subject to multiple constraints on its costs (the number of constraints is relatively small). A new dual…

This paper explores how ambiguity affects communication. We consider a cheap talk model in which the receiver evaluates the sender's message with respect to its worst-case expected payoff generated by multiplier preferences. We characterize…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-20 Longjian Li

We study the optimal behavior of a bidder in a real-time auction subject to the requirement that a specified collections of heterogeneous items be acquired within given time constraints. The problem facing this bidder is cast as a…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Ryan J. Kinnear , Ravi R. Mazumdar , Peter Marbach

We model learning in a continuous-time Brownian setting where there is prior ambiguity. The associated model of preference values robustness and is time-consistent. It is applied to study optimal learning when the choice between actions can…

经济学 · 定量金融 2019-03-06 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

For an infinite-horizon continuous-time optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, we look for an optimal equilibrium, which generates larger values than any other equilibrium does on the entire state space. When the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhou Zhou
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