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This paper presents a novel extension of multi-task Gaussian Cox processes for modeling multiple heterogeneous correlated tasks jointly, e.g., classification and regression, via multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP). A MOGP prior over the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-30 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Zhijie Deng , Fengxiang He , Peng Cui , Jun Zhu

We propose a random forest estimator for the intensity of spatial point processes, applicable with or without covariates. It retains the well-known advantages of a random forest approach, including the ability to handle a large number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Christophe Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

Despite the availability of ever more data enabled through modern sensor and computer technology, it still remains an open problem to learn dynamical systems in a sample-efficient way. We propose active learning strategies that leverage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

We derive a single pass algorithm for computing the gradient and Fisher information of Vecchia's Gaussian process loglikelihood approximation, which provides a computationally efficient means for applying the Fisher scoring algorithm for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-22 Joseph Guinness

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

Statistical modeling of point patterns is an important and common problem in several areas. The Poisson process is the most common process used for this purpose, in particular, its generalization that considers the intensity function to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Livia M. Dutra , Roger W. C. Silva

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

Modeling data with multivariate count responses is a challenging problem due to the discrete nature of the responses. Existing methods for univariate count responses cannot be easily extended to the multivariate case since the dependency…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-15 Hao Wu , Xinwei Deng , Naren Ramakrishnan

We review the literature on algorithms for estimating the index space in a multi-index model. The primary focus is on computationally efficient (polynomial-time) algorithms in Gaussian space, the assumptions under which consistency is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-17 Joan Bruna , Daniel Hsu

Gaussian process is a very promising novel technology that has been applied to both the regression problem and the classification problem. While for the regression problem it yields simple exact solutions, this is not the case for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-10-18 Amir F. Atiya , Hatem A. Fayed , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

We present a multi-objective evolutionary optimization algorithm that uses Gaussian process (GP) regression-based models to select trial solutions in a multi-generation iterative procedure. In each generation, a surrogate model is…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-05-22 Xiaobiao Huang , Minghao Song , Zhe Zhang

A new stochastic model for daily precipitation occurrence processes observed at multiple locations is developed. The modeling concept is to use the indicator function and the elliptical shape of multivariate Gaussian distribution to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-02 Hsien-Wei Chen

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Non-stationary time series with non-linear trends are frequently encountered in applications. We consider here the feasibility of accurately forecasting the signals of multiple such time series considering jointly when the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-05 Kerry Fendick

Surrogate models are often used to replace costly-to-evaluate complex coastal codes to achieve substantial computational savings. In many of those models, the hydrometeorological forcing conditions (inputs) or flood events (outputs) are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-04 A. F. López-Lopera , D. Idier , J. Rohmer , F. Bachoc

We investigate applications of deep neural networks to a point process having an intensity with mixing covariates processes as input. Our generic model includes Cox-type models and marked point processes as well as multivariate point…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-23 Yoshihiro Gyotoku , Ioane Muni Toke , Nakahiro Yoshida