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Forecast reconciliation is considered an effective method to achieve coherence (within a forecast hierarchy) and to improve forecast quality. However, the value of reconciled forecasts in downstream decision-making tasks has been mostly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson

The energy market, and specifically the renewable sector carries volatility and risks, similar to the financial market. Here, we leverage on a well-established, return-risk approach, commonly used by equity portfolio-managers and apply it…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-07 Haim Grebel , Divya Vikas , Jim Shi

We introduce REmap-eu.app, a web-based data-mining visualization tool of the spatial and temporal variability of wind resources. It uses the latest open-access dataset of the daily wind capacity factor in 28 European countries between 1979…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-03 Alban Puech , Jesse Read

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

Fossil gas is sometimes presented as an enabler of variable solar and wind generation beyond 2050, despite being a primary source of greenhouse gas emissions from methane leakage and combustion. We find that balancing solar and wind…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-24 Timothy Weber , Cheng Cheng , Harry Thawley , Kylie Catchpole , Andrew Blakers , Bin Lu , Jennifer Zhao , Anna Nadolny

Ensembles of regional-global climate model combinations show substantial spread in projected wind and solar resources. Using 31 RCM-GCM pairs, we quantify the sources of this spread with a spatially and seasonally resolved variance…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-23 Nina Effenberger , Reto Knutti

The logistic function is used to forecast energy consumed worldwide. The logistic substitution model is used to describe the energy mix since 1965 presenting a picture significantly different from the one covering the previous 100 years. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-03-27 Theodore Modis

The variational and diffusion quantum Monte Carlo methods are used to calculate the correlation energy of the paramagnetic three-dimensional homogeneous electron gas at intermediate to high density. Ground state energies in finite cells are…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2023-03-29 Sam Azadi , N. D. Drummond , S. M. Vinko

This paper is concerned with a nonparametric regression problem in which the input variables and the errors are autocorrelated in time. The motivation for the research stems from modeling wind power curves. Using existing model selection…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Abhinav Prakash , Rui Tuo , Yu Ding

There is a general need of elaborating energy-effective solutions for managing our increasingly dense interconnected world. The problem should be tackled in multiple dimensions -technology, society, economics, law, regulations, and…

Integrating a high share of electricity from non-dispatchable Renewable Energy Sources in a power supply system is a challenging task. One option considered in many studies dealing with prospective power systems is the installation of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-09 Stefan Weitemeyer , David Kleinhans , Thomas Vogt , Carsten Agert

We discuss how ensemble weather forecasts can be used, and highlight the advantages and disadvantages of two particular methods.

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson

In order to enable the transition towards renewable energy sources, probabilistic energy forecasting is of critical importance for incorporating volatile power sources such as solar energy into the electrical grid. Solar energy forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Benedikt Schulz , Mehrez El Ayari , Sebastian Lerch , Sándor Baran

The global increase in energy consumption and demand has forced many countries to transition into including more diverse energy sources in their electricity market. To efficiently utilize the available fuel resources, all energy sources…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-06 Razan A. H. Al-Lawati , Tasnim Ibn Faiz , Md. Noor-E-Alam

In recent works by Yang et al. (2017a,b), and Yagli et al. (2019), geographical, temporal, and sequential deterministic reconciliation of hierarchical photovoltaic (PV) power generation have been considered for a simulated PV dataset in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-16 Tommaso Di Fonzo , Daniele Girolimetto

In the planning phase of siting both new Wind Farms (WFs) and Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs), many benefits and challenges exist. An important aspect taken into consideration during the NPP siting is the existence of ultimate heat sink which…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-09-18 Mohamed Kareem AlAshery , Walid EI-Khattam , M. Abd El Rehim Badr

We study the renewable energy generations in Hong Kong based on realistic meteorological data, and find that different renewable sources exhibit diverse time-varying and location-dependent profiles. To efficiently explore and utilize the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-08-23 Hao Wang , Jianwei Huang

This paper presents a spatial clustering method to create regions with similar time-varying energy characteristics. This method combines empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) for dimensionality reduction and max-p regionalization for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-08-24 Claire Halloran , Malcolm McCulloch

We use the technique of wavelet analysis to quantitatively investigate the role of solar variability in forcing terrestrial climate change on solar cycle timescales (roughly 11 years). We examine the connection between mean annual solar…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Matthew J. Lewis , Katherine Freese