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Weather forecasting has seen a shift in methods from numerical simulations to data-driven systems. While initial research in the area focused on deterministic forecasting, recent works have used diffusion models to produce skillful ensemble…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Martin Andrae , Tomas Landelius , Joel Oskarsson , Fredrik Lindsten

Over the last three decades, ensemble forecasts have become an integral part of forecasting the weather. They provide users with more complete information than single forecasts as they permit to estimate the probability of weather events by…

This paper examines the use of a residual bootstrap for bias correction in machine learning regression methods. Accounting for bias is an important obstacle in recent efforts to develop statistical inference for machine learning methods. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-02 Giles Hooker , Lucas Mentch

We consider the problem of learning decision rules for prediction with feature budget constraint. In particular, we are interested in pruning an ensemble of decision trees to reduce expected feature cost while maintaining high prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-01-06 Feng Nan , Joseph Wang , Venkatesh Saligrama

Manifold alignment is a type of data fusion technique that creates a shared low-dimensional representation of data collected from multiple domains, enabling cross-domain learning and improved performance in downstream tasks. This paper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Jake S. Rhodes , Adam G. Rustad

This study presents a machine learning-based framework for heart disease prediction using the heart-disease dataset, comprising 303 samples with 14 features. The methodology involves data preprocessing, model training, and evaluation using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-16 Ali Azimi Lamir , Shiva Razzagzadeh , Zeynab Rezaei

Random forest regression is a powerful non-parametric method that adapts to local data characteristics through data-driven partitioning, making it effective across diverse application domains. However, the piecewise constant nature of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Ziyi Liu , Phuc Luong , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

We introduce an exact distributed algorithm to train Random Forest models as well as other decision forest models without relying on approximating best split search. We explain the proposed algorithm and compare it to related approaches for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-19 Mathieu Guillame-Bert , Olivier Teytaud

Many classification problems are naturally multi-view in the sense their data are described through multiple heterogeneous descriptions. For such tasks, dissimilarity strategies are effective ways to make the different descriptions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-17 Simon Bernard , Hongliu Cao , Robert Sabourin , Laurent Heutte

Rainfall ensemble forecasts have to be skillful for both low precipitation and extreme events. We present statistical post-processing methods based on Quantile Regression Forests (QRF) and Gradient Forests (GF) with a parametric extension…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-07 Maxime Taillardat , Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Naveau , Olivier Mestre

A random forest prediction can be computed by the scalar product of the labels of the training examples and a set of weights that are determined by the leafs of the forest into which the test object falls; each prediction can hence be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Henrik Boström

This paper demonstrates the feasibility of trajectory learning for ensemble forecasts by employing the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) as a loss function. Using the two-scale Lorenz '96 system as a case study, we develop and…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-23 Sagy Ephrati , James Woodfield

Prediction rule ensembles (PREs) are a relatively new statistical learning method, which aim to strike a balance between predictive accuracy and interpretability. Starting from a decision tree ensemble, like a boosted tree ensemble or a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-10-02 Marjolein Fokkema , Carolin Strobl

Random forest (RF) methodology is one of the most popular machine learning techniques for prediction problems. In this article, we discuss some cases where random forests may suffer and propose a novel generalized RF method, namely…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-24 Haozhe Zhang , Dan Nettleton , Zhengyuan Zhu

Tree ensemble models such as random forests and boosted trees are among the most widely used and practically successful predictive models in applied machine learning and business analytics. Although such models have been used to make…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-11 Velibor V. Mišić

The cotton industry in the United States is committed to sustainable production practices that minimize water, land, and energy use while improving soil health and cotton output. Climate-smart agricultural technologies are being developed…

Ensemble methods such as random forests have transformed the landscape of supervised learning, offering highly accurate prediction through the aggregation of multiple weak learners. However, despite their effectiveness, these methods often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Massimo Aria , Agostino Gnasso , Carmela Iorio , Marjolein Fokkema

In this paper we propose Fed-ensemble: a simple approach that bringsmodel ensembling to federated learning (FL). Instead of aggregating localmodels to update a single global model, Fed-ensemble uses random permutations to update a group of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Naichen Shi , Fan Lai , Raed Al Kontar , Mosharaf Chowdhury

The stock market is a crucial component of the financial market, playing a vital role in wealth accumulation for investors, financing costs for listed companies, and the stable development of the national macroeconomy. Significant…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-02-28 Jiajian Zheng , Duan Xin , Qishuo Cheng , Miao Tian , Le Yang

Ensemble methods combine the predictions of several base models. We study whether or not including more models always improves their average performance. This question depends on the kind of ensemble considered, as well as the predictive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-01 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Damien Garreau