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The availability of reliable, high-resolution climate and weather data is important to inform long-term decisions on climate adaptation and mitigation and to guide rapid responses to extreme events. Forecasting models are limited by…

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in many real-world applications, and numerous complex forecasting models have been proposed in recent years. Despite their architectural innovations, most state-of-the-art models report only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Reza Nematirad , Anil Pahwa , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

The demand for high-resolution information on climate change is critical for accurate projections and decision-making. Presently, this need is addressed through high-resolution climate models or downscaling. High-resolution models are…

Time series forecasting is widely used in business intelligence, e.g., forecast stock market price, sales, and help the analysis of data trend. Most time series of interest are macroscopic time series that are aggregated from microscopic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Zhibo Zhu , Ziqi Liu , Ge Jin , Zhiqiang Zhang , Lei Chen , Jun Zhou , Jianyong Zhou

Hierarchical time series are common in several applied fields. The forecasts for these time series are required to be coherent, that is, to satisfy the constraints given by the hierarchy. The most popular technique to enforce coherence is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-13 Lorenzo Zambon , Dario Azzimonti , Giorgio Corani

In the context of capacity planning, forecasting the evolution of informatics servers usage enables companies to better manage their computational resources. We address this problem by collecting key indicator time series and propose to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-11-07 Colin Leverger , Vincent Lemaire , Simon Malinowski , Thomas Guyet , Laurence Rozé

Weather prediction today is performed with numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. These are deterministic simulation models describing the dynamics of the atmosphere, and evolving the current conditions forward in time to obtain a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-18 Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß

Most data is automatically collected and only ever "seen" by algorithms. Yet, data compressors preserve perceptual fidelity rather than just the information needed by algorithms performing downstream tasks. In this paper, we characterize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-31 Yann Dubois , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Karen Ullrich , Chris J. Maddison

Accurate time series forecasting is critical for a wide range of problems with temporal data. Ensemble modeling is a well-established technique for leveraging multiple predictive models to increase accuracy and robustness, as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Dimitris Bertsimas , Leonard Boussioux

This study introduces a predictive maintenance strategy for high pressure industrial compressors using sensor data and features derived from unsupervised clustering integrated into classification models. The goal is to enhance model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Alessandro Costa , Emilio Mastriani , Federico Incardona , Kevin Munari , Sebastiano Spinello

Skillful medium-range precipitation forecasting at kilometer scale remains challenging over complex terrain because precipitation arises from multiscale nonlinear processes that global models cannot explicitly resolve at affordable cost.…

Time series forecasting plays a central role in many real-world applications and has been extensively studied. Most existing approaches rely on deterministic models. However, real-world environments exhibit inherently uncertain and complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Minju Kim , Youngbum Hur

To be able to produce accurate and reliable predictions of visibility has crucial importance in aviation meteorology, as well as in water- and road transportation. Nowadays, several meteorological services provide ensemble forecasts of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-25 Sándor Baran , Mária Lakatos

Societal and industrial infrastructures and systems increasingly leverage sensors that emit correlated time series. Forecasting of future values of such time series based on recorded historical values has important benefits. Automatically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Xinle Wu , Xingjian Wu , Dalin Zhang , Miao Zhang , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Christian S. Jensen

In many areas of decision-making, forecasting is an essential pillar. Consequently, many different forecasting methods have been proposed. From our experience, recently presented forecasting methods are computationally intensive, poorly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-29 André Bauer , Mark Leznik , Michael Stenger , Robert Leppich , Nikolas Herbst , Samuel Kounev , Ian Foster

Compressed sensing is a signal processing method that acquires data directly in a compressed form. This allows one to make less measurements than what was considered necessary to record a signal, enabling faster or more precise measurement…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-08-20 Florent Krzakala , Marc Mézard , François Sausset , Yifan Sun , Lenka Zdeborová

Accurately forecasting the weather is a key requirement for climate change mitigation. Data-driven methods offer the ability to make more accurate forecasts, but lack interpretability and can be expensive to train and deploy if models are…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Dominic J. Skinner , Romit Maulik

We consider the problem of data-assisted forecasting of chaotic dynamical systems when the available data is in the form of noisy partial measurements of the past and present state of the dynamical system. Recently there have been several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Alexander Wikner , Jaideep Pathak , Brian R. Hunt , Istvan Szunyogh , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

This paper presents a time series forecasting framework which combines standard forecasting methods and a machine learning model. The inputs to the machine learning model are not lagged values or regular time series features, but instead…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-15 Shi Zhao , Ying Feng

In the context of the compressed sensing problem, we propose a new ensemble of sparse random matrices which allow one (i) to acquire and compress a {\rho}0-sparse signal of length N in a time linear in N and (ii) to perfectly recover the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-04-15 Maria Chiara Angelini , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima