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We give an algorithm A which assigns probabilities to logical sentences. For any simple infinite sequence of sentences whose truth-values appear indistinguishable from a biased coin that outputs "true" with probability p, we have that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-10-13 Scott Garrabrant , Siddharth Bhaskar , Abram Demski , Joanna Garrabrant , George Koleszarik , Evan Lloyd

A principled approach to cyclicality and intransitivity in paired comparison data is developed. The proposed methodology enables more precise estimation of the underlying preference profile and facilitates the identification of all cyclic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-08 Rahul Singh , Ori Davidov

We give elementary examples within a framework for studying decisions under uncertainty where probabilities are only roughly known. The framework, in gambling terms, is that the size of a bet is proportional to the gambler's perceived…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-19 David J. Aldous , F. Thomas Bruss

We develop a framework for modelling and reasoning with uncertainty based on accept and reject statements about gambles. It generalises the frameworks found in the literature based on statements of acceptability, desirability, or…

概率论 · 数学 2015-01-26 Erik Quaeghebeur , Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans

The existence of incompatibility is one of the most fundamental features of quantum theory, and can be found at the core of many of the theory's distinguishing features, such as Bell inequality violations and the no-broadcasting theorem. A…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-06-27 Sergey N. Filippov , Teiko Heinosaari , Leevi Leppäjärvi

This paper derives confidence intervals (CI) and time-uniform confidence sequences (CS) for the classical problem of estimating an unknown mean from bounded observations. We present a general approach for deriving concentration bounds, that…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-29 Ian Waudby-Smith , Aaditya Ramdas

We look for algebraic certificates of positivity for functions which are not necessarily polynomial functions. Similar questions were examined earlier by Lasserre and Putinar and by Putinar. We explain how these results can be understood as…

代数几何 · 数学 2010-04-27 Tim Netzer , Murray Marshall

The hidden-variable question is whether or not various properties --- randomness or correlation, for example --- that are observed in the outcomes of an experiment can be explained via introduction of extra (hidden) variables which are…

量子物理 · 物理学 2017-08-23 Adam Brandenburger , H. Jerome Keisler

A nonconstructive proof can be used to prove the existence of an object with some properties without providing an explicit example of such an object. A special case is a probabilistic proof where we show that an object with required…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2013-10-29 Andrei Rumyantsev , Alexander Shen

One can often encounter claims that classical (Kolmogorovian) probability theory cannot handle, or even is contradicted by, certain empirical findings or substantive theories. This note joins several previous attempts to explain that these…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-24 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Maria Kon

Classical evaluations of configurations of intertwined quantum contexts induce relations, such as true-implies-false, true-implies-true, but also nonseparability among the input and output terminals. When combined, these exploitable…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-05-14 Karl Svozil

Statistical tests are needed to determine experimentally whether a hypothetical theory based on local realism can be an acceptable alternative to quantum mechanics. It is impossible to rule out local realism by a single test, as often…

量子物理 · 物理学 2017-04-26 Asher Peres

This paper assumes a robust, in general not dominated, probabilistic framework and provides necessary and sufficient conditions for a bipolar representation of subsets of the set of all quasi-sure equivalence classes of non-negative random…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-21 Johannes Langner , Gregor Svindland

Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-08 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen

An argument by Hassell proving the existence of a Bunimovich stadium for which there are semiclassical measures giving positive mass to the submanifold of bouncing ball trajectories uses a notion of non-gliding points. However, this notion…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-06-06 Dan Mangoubi , Adi Weller Weiser

In traditional justification logic, evidence terms have the syntactic form of polynomials, but they are not equipped with the corresponding algebraic structure. We present a novel semantic approach to justification logic that models…

逻辑 · 数学 2023-08-21 Michael Baur , Thomas Studer

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric framework for mean-variance optimization that enables inference on economically motivated shape constraints in finance, including positivity, monotonicity, and convexity. Many central hypotheses in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Rohan Sen

This paper is a journal counterpart to our FOCS 2021 paper, in which we initiate the study of property testing problems concerning a finite system of relations $E$ between permutations, generalizing the study of stability in permutations.…

群论 · 数学 2024-07-11 Oren Becker , Alexander Lubotzky , Jonathan Mosheiff

We prove the following completeness result about classical realizability: given any Boolean algebra with at least two elements, there exists a Krivine-style classical realizability model whose characteristic Boolean algebra is elementarily…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2022-09-20 Guillaume Geoffroy

A simple toy model is proposed that would allow conscious perceptions to be either classical (perceptions of objects without large quantum uncertainties or variances) or highly quantum (e.g., having large variances in the perceived position…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-12-07 Don N. Page