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Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

We develop a Bayesian inference method for discretely-observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Inference is challenging for most SDEs, due to the analytical intractability of the likelihood function. Nevertheless, forward…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complex stochastic models, where it is easy to simulate from the models, but impossible to calculate likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method of inference for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-14 Paul Fearnhead , Dennis Prangle

To infer the parameters of mechanistic models with intractable likelihoods, techniques such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly being adopted. One of the main disadvantages of ABC in practical situations, however, is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-03 Jonathan U Harrison , Ruth E Baker

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular method for approximate inference in generative models with intractable but easy-to-sample likelihood. It constructs an approximate posterior distribution by finding parameters for which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-09 Kimia Nadjahi , Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Roland Badeau , Umut Şimşekli

Model selection in the presence of intractable likelihoods remains a central challenge in Bayesian inference. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) provides a flexible likelihood-free framework, but its use for model choice is known to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Clara Grazian

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is commonly used for parameter estimation and model comparison for intractable simulator-based models whose likelihood function cannot be evaluated. In this paper we instead investigate the feasibility…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential part of the Bayesian toolbox for addressing problems in which the likelihood is prohibitively expensive or entirely unknown, making it intractable. ABC defines a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Hien D. Nguyen , Julyan Arbel , Hongliang Lü , Florence Forbes

Background: When conducting a meta-analysis of a continuous outcome, estimated means and standard deviations from the selected studies are required in order to obtain an overall estimate of the mean effect and its confidence interval. If…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-07 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is typically used when the likelihood is either unavailable or intractable but where data can be simulated under different parameter settings using a forward model. Despite the recent interest in ABC,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-24 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Taylor Pospisil

A central statistical goal is to choose between alternative explanatory models of data. In many modern applications, such as population genetics, it is not possible to apply standard methods based on evaluating the likelihood functions of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-02-25 Dennis Prangle , Paul Fearnhead , Murray P. Cox , Patrick J. Biggs , Nigel P. French

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) using a sequential Monte Carlo method provides a comprehensive platform for parameter estimation, model selection and sensitivity analysis in differential equations. However, this method, like other…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-21 Sanmitra Ghosh , Srinandan Dasmahapatra , Koushik Maharatna

Bayesian inference with stochastic models is often difficult because their likelihood functions involve high-dimensional integrals. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) avoids evaluating the likelihood function and instead infers model…

Background: We proposed approximate Bayesian computation with single distribution selection (ABC-SD) for estimating mean and standard deviation from other reported summary statistics. The ABC-SD generates pseudo data from a single…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

The frequentist method of simulated minimum distance (SMD) is widely used in economics to estimate complex models with an intractable likelihood. In other disciplines, a Bayesian approach known as Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-16 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

Stochastic systems in biology often exhibit substantial variability within and between cells. This variability, as well as having dramatic functional consequences, provides information about the underlying details of the system's behaviour.…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-11-09 Iain G. Johnston

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complicated stochastic models for which the likelihood function is difficult or even impossible to calculate, and hence conventional likelihood-based inferential echniques cannot be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-05-29 Simon R. White , Theodore Kypraios , Simon P. Preston

A computationally simple approach to inference in state space models is proposed, using approximate Bayesian computation (ABC). ABC avoids evaluation of an intractable likelihood by matching summary statistics for the observed data with…

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods have become increasingly prevalent of late, facilitating as they do the analysis of intractable, or challenging, statistical problems. With the initial focus being primarily on the practical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-08-24 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert
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