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相关论文: Bayesian Inference of a Finite Population Mean Und…

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We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

We consider inference from non-random samples in data-rich settings where high-dimensional auxiliary information is available both in the sample and the target population, with survey inference being a special case. We propose a regularized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Yutao Liu , Andrew Gelman , Qixuan Chen

Studies of memory trajectories using longitudinal data often result in highly non-representative samples due to selective study enrollment and attrition. An additional bias comes from practice effects that result in improved or maintained…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-23 Maria Josefsson , Michael J. Daniels , Sara Pudas

Survey sampling plays an important role in the efficient allocation and management of resources. The essence of survey sampling lies in acquiring a sample of data points from a population and subsequently using this sample to estimate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jonne Pohjankukka , Sakari Tuominen , Jukka Heikkonen

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

In this paper, we study the classical problem of estimating the proportion of a finite population. First, we consider a fixed sample size method and derive an explicit sample size formula which ensures a mixed criterion of absolute and…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-02-03 Xinjia Chen

Populations of interest are often hidden from data for a variety of reasons, though their magnitude remains important in determining resource allocation and appropriate policy. One popular approach to population size estimation, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Mallory J Flynn , Paul Gustafson

Tree-based priors for probability distributions are usually specified using a predetermined, data-independent collection of candidate recursive partitions of the sample space. To characterize an unknown target density in detail over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Li Ma , Benedetta Bruni

We obtain a limit of a hierarchical Bayes estimator of a finite population mean when the sample size is large. The limit is in the sense of ordinary calculus, where the sample observations are treated as fixed quantities. Our result…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-22 P. Lahiri , Kanchan Mukherjee

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

We derive ensembles of decision trees through a nonparametric Bayesian model, allowing us to view random forests as samples from a posterior distribution. This insight provides large gains in interpretability, and motivates a class of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-05-19 Matt Taddy , Chun-Sheng Chen , Jun Yu , Mitch Wyle

Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-27 Michael D. Karcher , Julia A. Palacios , Trevor Bedford , Marc A. Suchard , Vladimir N. Minin

Cluster sampling is common in survey practice, and the corresponding inference has been predominantly design-based. We develop a Bayesian framework for cluster sampling and account for the design effect in the outcome modeling. We consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Susanna Makela , Yajuan Si , Andrew Gelman

Capture-recapture methods aim to estimate the size of a closed population on the basis of multiple incomplete enumerations of individuals. In many applications, the individual probability of being recorded is heterogeneous in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-08 James E. Johndrow , Kristian Lum , Daniel Manrique-Vallier

This article attempts to offer some perspectives on Bayesian inference for finite population quantities when the units in the population are assumed to exhibit complex dependencies. Beginning with an overview of Bayesian hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-15 Sudipto Banerjee

We develop a Bayesian model-based approach to finite population estimation accounting for spatial dependence. Our innovation here is a framework that achieves inference for finite population quantities in spatial process settings. A key…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Alec M. Chan-Golston , Sudipto Banerjee , Mark S. Handcock

To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-14 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Travis McDevitt-Galles

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

We explore the effect of finite population sampling in design problems with many variables cross-classified in many ways. In particular, we investigate designs where we wish to sample individuals belonging to different groups for which the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-30 Simon C. Shaw , Michael Goldstein
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