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Causal inference is the process of capturing cause-effect relationship among variables. Most existing works focus on dealing with structured data, while mining causal relationship among factors from unstructured data, like text, has been…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-04-22 Xiao Liu , Da Yin , Yansong Feng , Yuting Wu , Dongyan Zhao

A fundamental challenge of scientific research is inferring causal relations based on observed data. One commonly used approach involves utilizing structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among interacting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-13 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

In observational studies, the causal effect of a treatment may be confounded with variables that are related to both the treatment and the outcome of interest. In order to identify a causal effect, such studies often rely on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-17 Emma Persson , Jenny Häggström , Ingeborg Waernbaum , Xavier de Luna

Causal effect estimation (CEE) provides a crucial tool for predicting the unobserved counterfactual outcome for an entity. As CEE relaxes the requirement for ``perfect'' counterfactual samples (e.g., patients with identical attributes and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Hechuan Wen , Tong Chen , Guanhua Ye , Li Kheng Chai , Shazia Sadiq , Hongzhi Yin

This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama

Causal discovery broadens the inference possibilities, as correlation does not inform about the relationship direction. The common approaches were proposed for cases in which prior knowledge is desired, when the impact of a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-07-18 Marcel Młyńczak

We study the problem of deriving policies, or rules, that when enacted on a complex system, cause a desired outcome. Absent the ability to perform controlled experiments, such rules have to be inferred from past observations of the system's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-09 Kailash Budhathoki , Mario Boley , Jilles Vreeken

This paper discusses the problem of causal query in observational data with hidden variables, with the aim of seeking the change of an outcome when "manipulating" a variable while given a set of plausible confounding variables which affect…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Le

Unobserved confounding presents a major threat to causal inference from observational studies. Recently, several authors suggest that this problem may be overcome in a shared confounding setting where multiple treatments are independent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-25 Dehan Kong , Shu Yang , Linbo Wang

Causal discovery from observational data is an important tool in many branches of science. Under certain assumptions it allows scientists to explain phenomena, predict, and make decisions. In the large sample limit, sound and complete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Gal Novik

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

To draw scientifically meaningful conclusions and build reliable models of quantitative phenomena, cause and effect must be taken into consideration (either implicitly or explicitly). This is particularly challenging when the measurements…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-11 Max A. Little , Reham Badawy

Causal modeling has long been an attractive topic for many researchers and in recent decades there has seen a surge in theoretical development and discovery algorithms. Generally discovery algorithms can be divided into two approaches:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-06 Ridho Rahmadi , Perry Groot , Marianne Heins , Hans Knoop , Tom Heskes

A data science task can be deemed as making sense of the data or testing a hypothesis about it. The conclusions inferred from data can greatly guide us to make informative decisions. Big data has enabled us to carry out countless prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-12 Wenhao Zhang , Ramin Ramezani , Arash Naeim

The concept of causality has a controversial history. The question of whether it is possible to represent and address causal problems with probability theory, or if fundamentally new mathematics such as the do calculus is required has been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-13 Finnian Lattimore , David Rohde

Classical causal and statistical inference methods typically assume the observed data consists of independent realizations. However, in many applications this assumption is inappropriate due to a network of dependences between units in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Rohit Bhattacharya , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

With the advancement of data science, the collection of increasingly complex datasets has become commonplace. In such datasets, the data dimension can be extremely high, and the underlying data generation process can be unknown and highly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-29 Yaxin Fang , Faming Liang

This paper introduces a collection of four data sets, similar to Anscombe's Quartet, that aim to highlight the challenges involved when estimating causal effects. Each of the four data sets is generated based on a distinct causal mechanism:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-20 Lucy D'Agostino McGowan , Travis Gerke , Malcolm Barrett

Causal inference in observational studies can be challenging when confounders are subject to missingness. Generally, the identification of causal effects is not guaranteed even under restrictive parametric model assumptions when confounders…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-23 Jian Sun , Bo Fu

Causal inference methods such as instrumental variables, regression discontinuity, and difference-in-differences are widely used to identify and estimate treatment effects. However, when outcomes are qualitative, their application poses…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-30 Riccardo Di Francesco , Giovanni Mellace