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We discuss a Bayesian hierarchical copula model for clusters of financial time series. A similar approach has been developed in recent paper. However, the prior distributions proposed there do not always provide a proper posterior. In order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Paolo Onorati , Brunero Liseo

External information, such as prior information or expert opinions, can play an important role in the design, analysis and interpretation of clinical trials. However, little attention has been devoted thus far to incorporating external…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-04-24 Minge Xie , Regina Y. Liu , C. V. Damaraju , William H. Olson

Entity resolution (record linkage or deduplication) is the process of identifying and linking duplicate records in databases. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian graphical approach for entity resolution that links records to latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-10 Neil G. Marchant , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein , Rebecca C. Steorts

A good clustering can help a data analyst to explore and understand a data set, but what constitutes a good clustering may depend on domain-specific and application-specific criteria. These criteria can be difficult to formalize, even when…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-21 Akash Srivastava , James Zou , Ryan P. Adams , Charles Sutton

In real clustering applications, proximity data, in which only pairwise similarities or dissimilarities are known, is more general than object data, in which each pattern is described explicitly by a list of attributes. Medoid-based…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-07-16 Kuang Zhou , Arnaud Martin , Quan Pan , Zhun-Ga Liu

As a representative evidential clustering algorithm, evidential c-means (ECM) provides a deeper insight into the data by allowing an object to belong not only to a single class, but also to any subset of a collection of classes, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-07 Lianmeng Jiao , Feng Wang , Zhun-ga Liu , Quan Pan

Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees under an exchangeability assumption, but these guarantees can fail if the data distribution shifts. We analyze the use of pseudo-calibration as a tool to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Farbod Siahkali , Ashwin Verma , Vijay Gupta

Clustering uncertain data has emerged as a challenging task in uncertain data management and mining. Thanks to a computational complexity advantage over other clustering paradigms, partitional clustering has been particularly studied and a…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2012-03-30 Francesco Gullo , Andrea Tagarelli

Maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) are asymptotically normally distributed, and this property is used in meta-analyses to test the heterogeneity of estimates, either for a single cluster or for several sub-groups. More recently, MLEs for…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-28 Anthony J. Webster

Combining the outputs of multiple classifiers or experts into a single probabilistic classification is a fundamental task in machine learning with broad applications from classifier fusion to expert opinion pooling. Here we present a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Susanne Trick , Constantin A. Rothkopf

Not long ago primary census data became available to publicity. It opened qualitatively new perspectives not only for researchers in demography and sociology, but also for those people, who somehow face processes occurring in society. In…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2011-06-28 Oleg Chertov , Marharyta Aleksandrova

Many Bayesian model selection problems, such as variable selection or cluster analysis, start by setting prior model probabilities on a structured model space. Based on a chosen loss function between models, model selection is often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-23 Changwoo J. Lee

We construct a cross-entropy clustering (CEC) theory which finds the optimal number of clusters by automatically removing groups which carry no information. Moreover, our theory gives simple and efficient criterion to verify cluster…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-05-19 Przemysław Spurek , Jacek Tabor

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

Recently there has been growing interest in modeling sets with exchangeability such as point clouds. A shortcoming of current approaches is that they restrict the cardinality of the sets considered or can only express limited forms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-14 Mengjiao Yang , Bo Dai , Hanjun Dai , Dale Schuurmans

The use of hierarchical mixture priors with shared atoms has recently flourished in the Bayesian literature for partially exchangeable data. Leveraging on nested levels of mixtures, these models allow the estimation of a two-layered data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Laura D'Angelo , Francesco Denti

Clustering is an essential task to unsupervised learning. It tries to automatically separate instances into coherent subsets. As one of the most well-known clustering algorithms, k-means assigns sample points at the boundary to a unique…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Sixiao Zheng , Ke Fan , Yanxi Hou , Jianfeng Feng , Yanwei Fu

Deploying trustworthy AI systems requires principled uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a widely used framework for constructing prediction sets with distribution-free coverage guarantees. In many practical settings,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Haifeng Wen , Osvaldo Simeone , Hong Xing

Research has shown that deep networks tend to be overly optimistic about their predictions, leading to an underestimation of prediction errors. Due to the limited nature of data, existing studies have proposed various methods based on model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Jia-Qi Yang , De-Chuan Zhan , Le Gan

Compared to supervised variable selection, the research on unsupervised variable selection is far behind. A forward partial-variable clustering full-variable loss (FPCFL) method is proposed for the corresponding challenges. An advantage is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Tonglin Zhang , Huyunting Huang