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Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) and value-at-risk (VaR) are popular tail-risk measures in finance and insurance industries as well as in highly reliable, safety-critical uncertain environments where often the underlying probability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-23 Shubhada Agrawal , Wouter M. Koolen , Sandeep Juneja

In several real-world applications involving decision making under uncertainty, the traditional expected value objective may not be suitable, as it may be necessary to control losses in the case of a rare but extreme event. Conditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-07 Ravi Kumar Kolla , Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat , Krishna Jagannathan

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a widely used risk-sensitive objective for learning under rare but high-impact losses, yet its statistical behavior under heavy-tailed data remains poorly understood. Unlike expectation-based risk, CVaR…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-23 Dinesh Karthik Mulumudi , Piyushi Manupriya , Gholamali Aminian , Anant Raj

We study learning algorithms that seek to minimize the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), when all the learner knows is that the losses incurred may be heavy-tailed. We begin by studying a general-purpose estimator of CVaR for potentially…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-04 Matthew J. Holland , El Mehdi Haress

In a wide variety of sequential decision making problems, it can be important to estimate the impact of rare events in order to minimize risk exposure. A popular risk measure is the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), which is commonly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-11 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

Motivated by the prominence of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as a measure for tail risk in settings affected by uncertainty, we develop a new formula for approximating CVaR based optimization objectives and their gradients from limited…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-25 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy

The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a useful risk measure in fields such as machine learning, finance, insurance, energy, etc. When measuring very extreme risk, the commonly used CVaR estimation method of sample averaging does not work…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

Data in the real-world classification problems are always imbalanced or long-tailed, wherein the majority classes have the most of the samples that dominate the model training. In such setting, the naive model tends to have poor performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-30 Hong Zhu , Runpeng Yu , Xing Tang , Yifei Wang , Yuan Fang , Yisen Wang

Classical multi-armed bandit problems use the expected value of an arm as a metric to evaluate its goodness. However, the expected value is a risk-neutral metric. In many applications like finance, one is interested in balancing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Anmol Kagrecha , Jayakrishnan Nair , Krishna Jagannathan

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a family of "coherent risk measures" which generalize the traditional mathematical expectation. Widely used in mathematical finance, it is garnering increasing interest in machine learning, e.g., as an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-17 Zakaria Mhammedi , Benjamin Guedj , Robert C. Williamson

Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) have become the most popular measures of market risk in Financial and Insurance fields. However, the estimation of both risk measures is challenging, because it requires the knowledge…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-17 Jacinto Martín , M. Isabel Parra , Eva L. Sanjuán , Mario M. Pizarro

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure that is being used extensively in various domains. We develop a new formula for the gradient of the CVaR in the form of a conditional expectation. Based on this formula, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-25 Aviv Tamar , Yonatan Glassner , Shie Mannor

Many modern machine learning tasks require models with high tail performance, i.e. high performance over the worst-off samples in the dataset. This problem has been widely studied in fields such as algorithmic fairness, class imbalance, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-11 Runtian Zhai , Chen Dan , Arun Sai Suggala , Zico Kolter , Pradeep Ravikumar

The multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem is a ubiquitous decision-making problem that exemplifies the exploration-exploitation tradeoff. Standard formulations exclude risk in decision making. Risk notably complicates the basic reward-maximising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-05 Joel Q. L. Chang , Qiuyu Zhu , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We study the fixed-confidence best arm identification (BAI) problem within the multi-armed bandit (MAB) framework under the Entropic Value-at-Risk (EVaR) criterion. Our analysis considers a nonparametric setting, allowing for general reward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Mehrasa Ahmadipour , Aurélien Garivier

In this paper we study a multi-arm bandit problem in which the quality of each arm is measured by the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) at some level alpha of the reward distribution. While existing works in this setting mainly focus on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Dorian Baudry , Romain Gautron , Emilie Kaufmann , Odalric-Ambryn Maillard

We present the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) in the context of Markov chains and Markov decision processes with reachability and mean-payoff objectives. CVaR quantifies risk by means of the expectation of the worst p-quantile. As such it…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-05-09 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk) is a risk metric widely used in finance. However, dynamically optimizing CVaR is difficult since it is not a standard Markov decision process (MDP) and the principle of dynamic programming fails. In this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-10-18 Li Xia , Peter W. Glynn

Distributional reinforcement learning (RL) -- in which agents learn about all the possible long-term consequences of their actions, and not just the expected value -- is of great recent interest. One of the most important affordances of a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-15 Chris Gagne , Peter Dayan

This paper tackles the risk averse multi-armed bandits problem when incurred losses are non-stationary. The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is used as the objective function. Two estimation methods are proposed for this objective function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-30 Leo Benac , Frédéric Godin
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