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Stan is a probabilistic programming language that is popular in the statistics community, with a high-level syntax for expressing probabilistic models. Stan differs by nature from generative probabilistic programming languages like Church,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Guillaume Baudart , Javier Burroni , Martin Hirzel , Louis Mandel , Avraham Shinnar

Non-Gaussian spatial and spatio-temporal data are becoming increasingly prevalent, and their analysis is needed in a variety of disciplines. FRK is an R package for spatial/spatio-temporal modelling and prediction with very large data sets…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-22 Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Noel Cressie

Latent Markov (LM) models represent an important class of models for the analysis of longitudinal data (Bartolucci et. al., 2013), especially when response variables are categorical. These models have a great potential of application for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-01-20 Francesco Bartolucci , Alessio Farcomeni , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

We combine Bayesian prediction and weighted inference as a unified approach to survey inference. The general principles of Bayesian analysis imply that models for survey outcomes should be conditional on all variables that affect the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Rob Trangucci , Jonah Sol Gabry , Andrew Gelman

Spatial statistics is a growing discipline providing important analytical techniques in a wide range of disciplines in the natural and social sciences. In the R package GWmodel, we introduce techniques from a particular branch of spatial…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Isabella Gollini , Binbin Lu , Martin Charlton , Christopher Brunsdon , Paul Harris

Bayesian methods and software for spatial data analysis are generally now well established in the scientific community. Despite the wide application of spatial models, the analysis of multivariate spatial data using R-INLA has not been…

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

Spatial and spatiotemporal machine-learning models require a suitable framework for their model assessment, model selection, and hyperparameter tuning, in order to avoid error estimation bias and over-fitting. This contribution reviews the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-03 Patrick Schratz , Marc Becker , Michel Lang , Alexander Brenning

This paper presents the R package gRapHD for efficient selection of high-dimensional undirected graphical models. The package provides tools for selecting trees, forests and decomposable models minimizing information criteria such as AIC or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-24 Gabriel C. G. de Abreu , Rodrigo Labouriau , David Edwards

In this paper, we introduce ST-RAP, a novel Spatio-Temporal framework for Real estate APpraisal. ST-RAP employs a hierarchical architecture with a heterogeneous graph neural network to encapsulate temporal dynamics and spatial relationships…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Hojoon Lee , Hawon Jeong , Byungkun Lee , Kyungyup Lee , Jaegul Choo

The R package BigVAR allows for the simultaneous estimation of high-dimensional time series by applying structured penalties to the conventional vector autoregression (VAR) and vector autoregression with exogenous variables (VARX)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-24 William Nicholson , David Matteson , Jacob Bien

BDSAR is an R package which estimates distances between probability distributions and facilitates a dynamic and powerful analysis of diagnostics for Bayesian models from the class of Simultaneous Autoregressive (SAR) spatial models. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-26 Ian M Danilevicz , Ricardo S Ehlers

This paper describes and illustrates functionality of the spNNGP R package. The package provides a suite of spatial regression models for Gaussian and non-Gaussian point-referenced outcomes that are spatially indexed. The package implements…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-16 Andrew O. Finley , Abhirup Datta , Sudipto Banerjee

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is a popular method for estimating the parameter posterior distribution for complex statistical models and stochastic processes that possess a computationally intractable likelihood function. Instead of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-26 Ziwen An , Leah F South , Christopher Drovandi

Aggregated relational data is widely collected to study social networks, in fields such as sociology, public health and economics. Many of the successes of ARD inference have been driven by increasingly complex Bayesian models, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Owen G. Ward , Anna L. Smith , Tian Zheng

Systems that rely on forecasts to make decisions, e.g. control or energy trading systems, require frequent updates of the forecasts. Usually, the forecasts are updated whenever new observations become available, hence in an online setting.…

This paper presents the R package GAS for the analysis of time series under the Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) framework of Creal et al. (2013) and Harvey (2013). The distinctive feature of the GAS approach is the use of the score…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-25 David Ardia , Kris Boudt , Leopoldo Catania

In this paper we briefly review the main methodological aspects concerned with the application of the Bayesian approach to model choice and model averaging in the context of variable selection in regression models. This includes prior…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-12-08 Anabel Forte , Gonzalo Garcia-Donato , Mark Steel

Coming up with Bayesian models for spatial data is easy, but performing inference with them can be challenging. Writing fast inference code for a complex spatial model with realistically-sized datasets from scratch is time-consuming, and if…

This paper introduces and describes the R package ts.extend, which adds probability functions for stationary Gaussian ARMA models and some related utility functions for time-series. We show how to use the package to compute the density and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Ben O'Neill