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We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Bayes' rule has enabled innumerable powerful algorithms of statistical signal processing and statistical machine learning. However, when model misspecifications exist in prior and/or data distributions, the direct application of Bayes' rule…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-13 Shixiong Wang

The beta-negative binomial process (BNBP), an integer-valued stochastic process, is employed to partition a count vector into a latent random count matrix. As the marginal probability distribution of the BNBP that governs the exchangeable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-05 Mingyuan Zhou

Multi-armed bandit (MAB) processes constitute a foundational subclass of reinforcement learning problems and represent a central topic in statistical decision theory, but are limited to simultaneous adaptive allocation and sequential test,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Li Yang , Xiaodong Yan , Dandan Jiang

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

Advances in AI, and especially machine learning, are increasingly drawing research interest and efforts towards predictive process monitoring, the subfield of process mining (PM) that concerns predicting next events, process outcomes and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

We introduce a new, rigorously-formulated Bayesian meta-learning algorithm that learns a probability distribution of model parameter prior for few-shot learning. The proposed algorithm employs a gradient-based variational inference to infer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-21 Cuong Nguyen , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to solve stochastic optimization problems that involve finding extrema of noisy, nonlinear functions. Previous work has focused on representing possible functions explicitly, which leads to a two-step…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-13 Pedro A. Ortega , Jordi Grau-Moya , Tim Genewein , David Balduzzi , Daniel A. Braun

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We introduce the XBX regression model, a continuous mixture of extended-support beta regressions for modelling bounded responses with boundary observations. The core building block of XBX regression is the extended-support beta…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Ioannis Kosmidis , Achim Zeileis

Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Sinead Williamson

This paper presents a class of new algorithms for distributed statistical estimation that exploit divide-and-conquer approach. We show that one of the key benefits of the divide-and-conquer strategy is robustness, an important…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-29 Stanislav Minsker , Nate Strawn

In this paper we consider the current status continuous mark model where, if the event takes place before an inspection time $T$ a "continuous mark" variable is observed as well. A Bayesian nonparametric method is introduced for estimating…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-16 Geurt Jongbloed , Frank van der Meulen , Lixue Pang

This project was motivated by a dialysis study in northern Taiwan. Dialysis patients, after shunt implantation, may experience two types ("acute" or "non-acute") of shunt thrombosis, both of which may recur. We formulate the problem under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-07 Bowen Li

Standard nonlinear regression is commonly used when modeling indifference points due to its ability to closely follow observed data, resulting in a good model fit. However, standard nonlinear regression currently lacks a reasonable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-07 Mingang Kim , Mikhail N. Koffarnus , Christopher T Franck

Many existing data mining algorithms use feature values directly in their model, making them sensitive to units/scales used to measure/represent data. Pre-processing of data based on rank transformation has been suggested as a potential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Arbind Agrahari Baniya , Sunil Aryal , Santosh KC

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

In this paper we study bayesian analysis of Modified Weibull distribution under progressively censored competing risk model. This study is made for progressively censored data. We use deterministic scan Gibbs sampling combined with slice…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-24 Arabin Kumar Dey , Abhilash Jha , Sanku Dey

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees(BART) is a Bayesian nonparametric approach which has been shown to be competitive with the best modern predictive methods such as random forest and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree.The sum of trees…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-27 Hao Ran , Yang Bai