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While time series prediction is an important, actively studied problem, the predictive accuracy of time series models is complicated by non-stationarity. We develop a fast and effective approach to allow for non-stationarity in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-10 Daniel M. McCarthy , Shane T. Jensen

Deep structured models are widely used for tasks like semantic segmentation, where explicit correlations between variables provide important prior information which generally helps to reduce the data needs of deep nets. However, current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-02 Colin Graber , Ofer Meshi , Alexander Schwing

Modeling the dynamics of non-stationary stochastic systems requires balancing the representational power of deep learning with the mathematical transparency of classical models. While classical Markov transition operators provide explicit,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Jan Rovirosa , Jesse Schmolze

The success of deep learning depends on large-scale and well-curated training data, while data in real-world applications are commonly long-tailed and noisy. Many methods have been proposed to deal with long-tailed data or noisy data, while…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Lefan Zhang , Zhang-Hao Tian , Wujun Zhou , Wei Wang

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

Data normalization is one of the most important preprocessing steps when building a machine learning model, especially when the model of interest is a deep neural network. This is because deep neural network optimized with stochastic…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-03 Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Accurate forecasting of long-term time series has important applications for decision making and planning. However, it remains challenging to capture the long-term dependencies in time series data. To better extract long-term dependencies,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Feifei Li , Suhan Guo , Feng Han , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

Recent advances in employing neural networks on graph domains helped push the state of the art in link prediction tasks, particularly in recommendation services. However, the use of temporal contextual information, often modeled as dynamic…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Samuel G. Fadel , Ricardo da S. Torres

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Deep learning has seen increasing applications in time series in recent years. For time series anomaly detection scenarios, such as in finance, Internet of Things, data center operations, etc., time series usually show very flexible…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Cheng Ge , Xi Chen , Ming Wang , Jin Wang

Reinforcement learning is a machine learning approach concerned with solving dynamic optimization problems in an almost model-free way by maximizing a reward function in state and action spaces. This property makes it an exciting area of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-10-12 Miquel Noguer i Alonso , Sonam Srivastava

The regression of multiple inter-connected sequence data is a problem in various disciplines. Formally, we name the regression problem of multiple inter-connected data entities as the "dynamic network regression" in this paper. Within the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Yixin Chen , Lin Meng , Jiawei Zhang

The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-06 Jonghyeon Min

As the complexity and dynamism of financial markets continue to grow, traditional financial risk prediction methods increasingly struggle to handle large datasets and intricate behavior patterns. This paper explores the feasibility and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Haowei Yang , Zhan Cheng , Zhaoyang Zhang , Yuanshuai Luo , Shuaishuai Huang , Ao Xiang

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

Traditional machine learning methods face two main challenges in dealing with healthcare predictive analytics tasks. First, the high-dimensional nature of healthcare data needs labor-intensive and time-consuming processes to select an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-16 Mohammad Amin Morid , Olivia R. Liu Sheng , Joseph Dunbar

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using several connectionist paradigms and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Ninan Sajith Philip , P. Saratchandran

Financial institutions obtain enormous amounts of data about user transactions and money transfers, which can be considered as a large graph dynamically changing in time. In this work, we focus on the task of predicting new interactions in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-24 Valentina Shumovskaia , Kirill Fedyanin , Ivan Sukharev , Dmitry Berestnev , Maxim Panov

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently become increasingly popular due to their ability to learn complex systems of relations or interactions arising in a broad spectrum of problems ranging from biology and particle physics to social…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-12 Emanuele Rossi , Ben Chamberlain , Fabrizio Frasca , Davide Eynard , Federico Monti , Michael Bronstein