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We propose a model that forecasts market correlation structure from link- and node-based financial network features using machine learning. For such, market structure is modeled as a dynamic asset network by quantifying time-dependent…

Stock trend prediction plays a critical role in seeking maximized profit from stock investment. However, precise trend prediction is very difficult since the highly volatile and non-stationary nature of stock market. Exploding information…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-02-21 Ziniu Hu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Xuanzhe Liu , Tie-Yan Liu

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

Stock trend analysis has been an influential time-series prediction topic due to its lucrative and inherently chaotic nature. Many models looking to accurately predict the trend of stocks have been based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs).…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-25 Harsimrat Kaeley , Ye Qiao , Nader Bagherzadeh

According to the leading models in modern finance, the presence of intraday lead-lag relationships between financial assets is negligible in efficient markets. With the advance of technology, however, markets have become more sophisticated.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-01-03 Chester Curme , Michele Tumminello , Rosario N. Mantegna , H. Eugene Stanley , Dror Y. Kenett

The project aims to research on combining deep learning specifically Long-Short Memory (LSTM) and basic statistics in multiple multistep time series prediction. LSTM can dive into all the pages and learn the general trends of variation in a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Chuanyun Zang

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

Feature extraction from financial data is one of the most important problems in market prediction domain for which many approaches have been suggested. Among other modern tools, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have recently been applied…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-23 Ehsan Hoseinzade , Saman Haratizadeh

Dynamics of complex systems is studied by first considering a chaotic time series generated by Lorenz equations and adding noise to it. The trend (smooth behavior) is separated from fluctuations at different scales using wavelet analysis…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Dilip P. Ahalpara , Jitendra C. Parikh

Forecasting future stock trends remains challenging for academia and industry due to stochastic inter-stock dynamics and hierarchical intra-stock dynamics influencing stock prices. In recent years, graph neural networks have achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Zinuo You , Zijian Shi , Hongbo Bo , John Cartlidge , Li Zhang , Yan Ge

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

This paper provides a review of past approaches to the use of deep-learning frameworks for the analysis of discrete irregular-patterned complex sequential datasets. A typical example of such a dataset is financial data where specific events…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-23 Kudakwashe Dandajena , Isabella M. Venter , Mehrdad Ghaziasgar , Reg Dodds

This paper focuses on improving the robustness of spatiotemporal long-term prediction using a variational mode graph convolutional network (VMGCN) by introducing 3D channel attention. The deep learning network for this task relies on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-10 Osama Ahmad , Zubair Khalid

Correlation matrices contain a wide variety of spatio-temporal information about a dynamical system. Predicting correlation matrices from partial time series information of a few nodes characterizes the spatio-temporal dynamics of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-14 Nikhil Easaw , Woo Seok Lee , Prashant Singh Lohiya , Sarika Jalan , Priodyuti Pradhan

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Financial forecasting is an example of a signal processing problem which is challenging due to Small sample sizes, high noise, non-stationarity, and non-linearity,but fast forecasting of stock market price is very important for strategic…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2015-03-13 Arka Ghosh

Time series forecasting is a crucial component of many important applications, ranging from forecasting the stock markets to energy load prediction. The high-dimensionality, velocity and variety of the data collected in these applications…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-25 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Recently, the incorporation of both temporal features and the correlation across time series has become an effective approach in time series prediction. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) demonstrate good performance on many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-29 Wenbo Yan , Ying Tan

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

Deep learning is an effective approach to solving image recognition problems. People draw intuitive conclusions from trading charts; this study uses the characteristics of deep learning to train computers in imitating this kind of intuition…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-01-10 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Jun-Hao Chen , Jun-Jie Wang