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Compartment models with delay terms are widely used across a range of disciplines. The motivation to include delay terms varies across different contexts. In epidemiological and pharmacokinetic models, the delays are often used to represent…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-06-26 Christopher N. Angstmann , Anna V. McGann , Zhuang Xu

In many metropolitan areas efforts are made to count the homeless to ensure proper provision of social services. Some areas are very large, which makes spatial sampling a viable alternative to an enumeration of the entire terrain. Counts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-11-15 Brian Kriegler , Richard Berk

This paper investigates the modeling of an important class of degradation data, which are collected from a spatial domain over time; for example, the surface quality degradation. Like many existing time-dependent stochastic degradation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-29 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Jayant Kalagnanam

Mathematical modeling based on time-delay differential equations is an important tool to study the role of delay in biological systems and to evaluate its impact on the asymptotic behavior of their dynamics. Delays are indeed found in many…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-03-25 Abdelmalik Moujahid , Fernando Vadillo

Time delay is ubiquitous in many experimental and real-world situations. It is often unclear whether time delay plays a significant role in observed phenomena, and if it does, how long the time lag really is. This would be invaluable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-12-10 Robin A. Kopp , Sabine H. L. Klapp , Deepak Gupta

A delay between the occurrence and the reporting of events often has practical implications such as for the amount of capital to hold for insurance companies, or for taking preventive actions in case of infectious diseases. The accurate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-24 Roel Verbelen , Katrien Antonio , Gerda Claeskens , Jonas Crevecoeur

In the realm of large-scale spatiotemporal data, abrupt changes are commonly occurring across both spatial and temporal domains. This study aims to address the concurrent challenges of detecting change points and identifying spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Zerui Zhang , Xin Wang , Xin Zhang , Jing Zhang

Urban systems are characterized by populations with heterogeneous characteristics, and whose spatial distribution is crucial to understand inequalities in life expectancy or education level. Traditional studies on spatial segregation…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-02 Aleix Bassolas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

Scaling has been proposed as a powerful tool to analyze the properties of complex systems, and in particular for cities where it describes how various properties change with population. The empirical study of scaling on a wide range of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-04-18 Jules Depersin , Marc Barthelemy

Cities across the United States are implementing information communication technologies in an effort to improve government services. One such innovation in e-government is the creation of 311 systems, offering a centralized platform where…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2017-10-09 Constantine Kontokosta , Boyeong Hong , Kristi Korsberg

Area-level models for small area estimation typically rely on areal random effects to shrink design-based direct estimates towards a model-based predictor. Incorporating the spatial dependence of the random effects into these models can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

The problem of urban event ranking aims at predicting the top-k most risky locations of future events such as traffic accidents and crimes. This problem is of fundamental importance to public safety and urban administration especially when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Bang An , Xun Zhou , Yongjian Zhong , Tianbao Yang

Studies of human mobility increasingly rely on digital sensing, the large-scale recording of human activity facilitated by digital technologies. Questions of variability and population representativity, however, in patterns seen from these…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-09-06 Enwei Zhu , Maham Khan , Philipp Kats , Shreya Santosh Bamne , Stanislav Sobolevsky

A key challenge in mining social media data streams is to identify events which are actively discussed by a group of people in a specific local or global area. Such events are useful for early warning for accident, protest, election or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-06-25 Yasmeen George , Shanika Karunasekera , Aaron Harwood , Kwan Hui Lim

Recent studies exploiting city-level time series have shown that, around the world, several crimes declined after COVID-19 containment policies have been put in place. Using data at the community-level in Chicago, this work aims to advance…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-12 Gian Maria Campedelli , Serena Favarin , Alberto Aziani , Alex R. Piquero

This chapter examines the possibility to analyze and compare human activities in an urban environment based on the detection of mobile phone usage patterns. Thanks to an unprecedented collection of counter data recording the number of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-06-18 S. Grauwin , S. Sobolevsky , S. Moritz , I. Gódor , C. Ratti

Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

In studies of discrimination, researchers often seek to estimate a causal effect of race or gender on outcomes. For example, in the criminal justice context, one might ask whether arrested individuals would have been subsequently charged or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-06 Johann Gaebler , William Cai , Guillaume Basse , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel , Jennifer Hill

In an effort to quantify and combat sexual assault, US colleges and universities are required to disclose the number of reported sexual assaults on their campuses each year. However, many instances of sexual assault are never reported to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-03 Casey Bradshaw , David M. Blei

We study variation in policing outcomes attributable to differential policing practices in New York City (NYC) using geographic regression discontinuity designs (GeoRDDs). By focusing on small geographic windows near police precinct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Emmett B. Kendall , Brenden Beck , Joseph Antonelli