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For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Can we evolve better training data for machine learning algorithms? To investigate this question we use population-based optimisation algorithms to generate artificial surrogate training data for naive Bayes for regression. We demonstrate…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-11-29 Michael Mayo , Eibe Frank

How can one perform Bayesian inference on stochastic simulators with intractable likelihoods? A recent approach is to learn the posterior from adaptively proposed simulations using neural network-based conditional density estimators.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-21 David S. Greenberg , Marcel Nonnenmacher , Jakob H. Macke

In recent days, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) can be applied to a vast majority of fields including business, medicine, engineering, etc. The most popular areas where ANN is employed nowadays are pattern and sequence recognition, novelty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-02-06 Md. Abu Bakr Siddique , Mohammad Mahmudur Rahman Khan , Rezoana Bente Arif , Zahidun Ashrafi

Bayesian neural Networks (BNNs) are a promising method of obtaining statistical uncertainties for neural network predictions but with a higher computational overhead which can limit their practical usage. This work explores the use of high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-09 Himanshu Sharma , Elise Jennings

We address the problem of Bayesian reinforcement learning using efficient model-based online planning. We propose an optimism-free Bayes-adaptive algorithm to induce deeper and sparser exploration with a theoretical bound on its performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Divya Grover , Debabrota Basu , Christos Dimitrakakis

We investigate methods for learning partial differential equation (PDE) models from spatiotemporal data under biologically realistic levels and forms of noise. Recent progress in learning PDEs from data have used sparse regression to select…

Bayesian Generative AI (BayesGen-AI) methods are developed and applied to Bayesian computation. BayesGen-AI reconstructs the posterior distribution by directly modeling the parameter of interest as a mapping (a.k.a. deep learner) from a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We consider the bridge linear regression modeling, which can produce a sparse or non-sparse model. A crucial point in the model building process is the selection of adjusted parameters including a regularization parameter and a tuning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-19 Shuichi Kawano

Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West

Bayesian network is a complete model for the variables and their relationships, it can be used to answer probabilistic queries about them. A Bayesian network can thus be considered a mechanism for automatically applying Bayes' theorem to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-11-08 Jianguo Ding

In epidemiology, traditional statistical methods such as logistic regression, linear regression, and other parametric models are commonly employed to investigate associations between predictors and health outcomes. However, non-parametric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Jean-Baptiste Guimbaud , Marc Plantevit , Léa Maître , Rémy Cazabet

In this work, we use the artificial neural network (ANN) method to study and predict the distribution of strong coupling constants by fitting the existing data. Our approach takes advantage of the ability of ANN to learn complex nonlinear…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2023-06-12 Xiao-Yun Wang , Chen Dong , Quanjin Wang

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) have recently emerged in the Deep Learning world for dealing with uncertainty estimation in classification tasks, and are used in many application domains such as astrophysics, autonomous driving...BNN assume…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-04 Claire Theobald , Frédéric Pennerath , Brieuc Conan-Guez , Miguel Couceiro , Amedeo Napoli

Leveraging the wealth of unlabeled data produced in recent years provides great potential for improving supervised models. When the cost of acquiring labels is high, probabilistic active learning methods can be used to greedily select the…

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a probabilistic interpretation for deep learning models by imposing a prior distribution over model parameters and inferring a posterior distribution based on observed data. The model sampled from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-15 Van-Anh Nguyen , Tung-Long Vuong , Hoang Phan , Thanh-Toan Do , Dinh Phung , Trung Le

Beta-binomial/Poisson models have been used by many authors to model multivariate count data. Lora and Singer (Statistics in Medicine, 2008) extended such models to accommodate repeated multivariate count data with overdipersion in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-03-08 Mayra Ivanoff Lora , Julio M Singer

Principal component regression uses principal components as regressors. It is particularly useful in prediction settings with high-dimensional covariates. The existing literature treating of Bayesian approaches is relatively sparse. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-28 Philippe Gagnon , Mylène Bédard , Alain Desgagné

Modern deep learning methods constitute incredibly powerful tools to tackle a myriad of challenging problems. However, since deep learning methods operate as black boxes, the uncertainty associated with their predictions is often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-06 Laurent Valentin Jospin , Wray Buntine , Farid Boussaid , Hamid Laga , Mohammed Bennamoun

This paper presents Sparse Partitioning, a Bayesian method for identifying predictors that either individually or in combination with others affect a response variable. The method is designed for regression problems involving binary or…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-08-31 Doug Speed , Simon Tavaré
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