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相关论文: Learning Probabilistic Trajectory Models of Aircra…

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Trajectory prediction (TP) plays an important role in supporting the decision-making of Air Traffic Controllers (ATCOs). Traditional TP methods are deterministic and physics-based, with parameters that are calibrated using aircraft…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-27 Nick Pepper , George De Ath , Marc Thomas , Richard Everson , Tim Dodwell

Realistic aircraft trajectory models are useful in the design and validation of air traffic management (ATM) systems. Models of aircraft operated under instrument flight rules (IFR) require capturing the variability inherent in how aircraft…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Soyeon Jung , Amelia Hardy , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Accurate aircraft trajectory prediction (TP) in air traffic management systems is confounded by a number of epistemic uncertainties, dominated by uncertain meteorological conditions and operator specific procedures. Handling this…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-21 Amy Hodgkin , Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

Predicting flight trajectories is a research area that holds significant merit. In this paper, we propose a data-driven learning framework, that leverages the predictive and feature extraction capabilities of the mixture models and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Jun Xiang , Jun Chen

Accurate trajectory prediction (TP) for climbing aircraft is hampered by the presence of epistemic uncertainties concerning aircraft operation, which can lead to significant misspecification between predicted and observed trajectories. This…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-13 Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

This paper presents a method for generating probabilistic descent trajectories in simulations of real-world airspace. A dataset of 116,066 trajectories harvested from Mode S radar returns in UK airspace was used to train and test the model.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-09 Amy Hodgkin , Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

Take-off and landing are the periods of a flight where aircraft are most vulnerable to a ground based rocket attack by terrorists. While aircraft approach and depart from airports on pre-defined flight paths, there is a degree of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-31 Willem J. Eerland , Simon Box

Airspace models have played an important role in the development and evaluation of aircraft collision avoidance systems for both manned and unmanned aircraft. As Urban Air Mobility (UAM) systems are being developed, we need new encounter…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-07-15 Sydney M. Katz , Anne-Claire Le Bihan , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

The current Air Traffic Management (ATM) system worldwide has reached its limits in terms of predictability, efficiency and cost effectiveness. Different initiatives worldwide propose trajectory-oriented transformations that require high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-19 Alevizos Bastas , Theocharis Kravaris , George A. Vouros

Accurate and reliable aircraft landing time prediction is essential for effective resource allocation in air traffic management. However, the inherent uncertainty of aircraft trajectories and traffic flows poses significant challenges to…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Kyungmin Kim , Seokbin Yoon , Keumjin Lee

We propose to learn a probabilistic motion model from a sequence of images for spatio-temporal registration. Our model encodes motion in a low-dimensional probabilistic space - the motion matrix - which enables various motion analysis tasks…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Julian Krebs , Hervé Delingette , Nicholas Ayache , Tommaso Mansi

The unprecedented increase of commercial airlines and private jets over the next ten years presents a challenge for air traffic control. Precise flight trajectory prediction is of great significance in air transportation management, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-18 Kai Zhang , Bowen Chen

Ensuring vertical separation is a key means of maintaining safe separation between aircraft in congested airspace. Aircraft trajectories are modelled in the presence of significant epistemic uncertainty, leading to discrepancies between…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas , George De Ath , Enrico Oliver , Richard Cannon , Richard Everson , Tim Dodwell

Aerial Vehicles follow a guided approach based on Latitude, Longitude and Altitude. This information can be used for calculating the status of maneuvering for the aerial vehicles along the line of trajectory. This is a binary classification…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-07-13 Abhishek Gupta , Sarvesh Thustu , Riti Thakor , Saniya Patil , Raunak Joshi , Ronald Melvin Laban

Data driven methods for time series forecasting that quantify uncertainty open new important possibilities for robot tasks with hard real time constraints, allowing the robot system to make decisions that trade off between reaction time and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-08 Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Sergey Prokudin , Bernhard Scholkopf , Jan Peters

Predicting if passengers in a connecting flight will lose their connection is paramount for airline profitability. We present novel machine learning-based decision support models for the different stages of connection flight management,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-04 Marta Guimaraes , Claudia Soares , Rodrigo Ventura

Approach and landing accidents have resulted in a significant number of hull losses worldwide. Technologies (e.g., instrument landing system) and procedures (e.g., stabilized approach criteria) have been developed to reduce the risks. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-03 Sim Kuan Goh , Narendra Pratap Singh , Zhi Jun Lim , Sameer Alam

Dynamic transportation networks have been analyzed for years by means of static graph-based indicators in order to study the temporal evolution of relevant network components, and to reveal complex dependencies that would not be easily…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani , Augusto Voltes-Dorta

With the rapid development of civil aviation and the significant improvement of people's living standards, taking an air plane has become a common and efficient way of travel. However, due to the flight characteris-tics of the aircraft and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Haoxing Liu , Fangzhou Shen , Haoshen Qin and , Fanru Gao

Trajectory prediction (TP) is crucial for ensuring safety and efficiency in modern air traffic management systems. It is, for example, a core component of conflict detection and resolution tools, arrival sequencing algorithms, capacity…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas , Zack Xuereb Conti
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