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The reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model can be interpreted as a supervised factor model, where two factor modelings are simultaneously applied to response and predictor spaces. This article introduces a new model, called vector…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Ruey Tsay

Subsequence clustering of multivariate time series is a useful tool for discovering repeated patterns in temporal data. Once these patterns have been discovered, seemingly complicated datasets can be interpreted as a temporal sequence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-16 David Hallac , Sagar Vare , Stephen Boyd , Jure Leskovec

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

In data science, vector autoregression (VAR) models are popular in modeling multivariate time series in the environmental sciences and other applications. However, these models are computationally complex with the number of parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Zhihao Hu , Shyam Ranganathan , Yang Shao , Xinwei Deng

The ``curse of dimensionality'' has remained a challenge for high-dimensional data analysis in statistics. The sliced inverse regression (SIR) and canonical correlation (CANCOR) methods aim to reduce the dimensionality of data by replacing…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-08-08 Jianhui Zhou , Xuming He

The unprecedented availability of spatial and temporal high-resolution satellite image time series (SITS) for crop type mapping is believed to necessitate deep learning architectures to accommodate challenges arising from both dimensions.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Xin Cai , Yaxin Bi , Peter Nicholl

In recent years, there has been a remarkable development of simulation-based inference (SBI) algorithms, and they have now been applied across a wide range of astrophysical and cosmological analyses. There are a number of key advantages to…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-03-18 Noemi Anau Montel , James Alvey , Christoph Weniger

This paper introduces structured machine learning regressions for high-dimensional time series data potentially sampled at different frequencies. The sparse-group LASSO estimator can take advantage of such time series data structures and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-15 Andrii Babii , Eric Ghysels , Jonas Striaukas

This paper introduces a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with stochastic volatility-in-mean and time-varying skewness. Unlike previous approaches, the proposed model allows both volatility and skewness to directly affect macroeconomic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-10 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Haroon Mumtaz , Ana Skoblar

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is introduced. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex networked system. This new formulation allows…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-29 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

Existing methods of vector autoregressive model for multivariate time series analysis make use of low-rank matrix approximation or Tucker decomposition to reduce the dimension of the over-parameterization issue. In this paper, we propose a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-05 Sijia Xia , Michael K. Ng , Xiongjun Zhang

We consider Bayesian tensor vector autoregressions (TVARs) in which the VAR coefficients are arranged as a three-dimensional array or tensor, and this coefficient tensor is parameterized using a low-rank CP decomposition. We develop a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-25 Joshua C. C. Chan , Yaling Qi

Simulation-based inference (SBI) solves statistical inverse problems by repeatedly running a stochastic simulator and inferring posterior distributions from model-simulations. To improve simulation efficiency, several inference methods take…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-11 Michael Deistler , Pedro J Goncalves , Jakob H Macke

Visualizing multiple time series presents fundamental tradeoffs between scalability and visual clarity. Time series capture the behavior of many large-scale real-world processes, from stock market trends to urban activities. Users often…

Mutual information (MI) is a fundamental measure of statistical dependence, with a myriad of applications to information theory, statistics, and machine learning. While it possesses many desirable structural properties, the estimation of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Ziv Goldfeld , Kristjan Greenewald

Estimating a high-dimensional sparse covariance matrix from a limited number of samples is a fundamental problem in contemporary data analysis. Most proposals to date, however, are not robust to outliers or heavy tails. Towards bridging…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-04 John Goes , Gilad Lerman , Boaz Nadler

We consider the estimation of integrated covariance (ICV) matrices of high dimensional diffusion processes based on high frequency observations. We start by studying the most commonly used estimator, the realized covariance (RCV) matrix. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Xinghua Zheng , Yingying Li

Time-series classification is an important domain of machine learning and a plethora of methods have been developed for the task. In comparison to existing approaches, this study presents a novel method which decomposes a time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-12 Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Wenhao Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao