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We investigate the hot hand hypothesis in professional darts in a near-ideal setting with minimal to no interaction between players. Considering almost one year of tournament data, corresponding to 167,492 dart throws in total, we use…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-20 Marius Ötting , Roland Langrock , Christian Deutscher , Vianey Leos-Barajas

From sports to science, the recent availability of large-scale data has allowed to gain insights on the drivers of human innovation and success in a variety of domains. Here we quantify human performance in the popular game of chess by…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-07-19 Sandeep Chowdhary , Iacopo Iacopini , Federico Battiston

Streaks of success have always fascinated people and a lot of research has been conducted to identify whether the "hot hand" effect is real. While sports have provided an appropriate platform for studying this phenomenon, the majority of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Wayne Winston

The game of darts has enjoyed great growth over the past decade with the perception of darts moving from that of a pub game to a game that is regularly scheduled on prime-time television in many countries including the U.K., Germany, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Martin B. Haugh , Chun Wang

Many high-performance human activities are executed with little or no external feedback: think of a figure skater landing a triple jump, a pitcher throwing a curveball for a strike, or a barista pouring latte art. To study the process of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Antonio Terpin , Raffaello D'Andrea

In soccer, contextual player performance metrics are invaluable to coaches. For example, the ability to perform under pressure during matches distinguishes the elite from the average. Appropriate pressure metric enables teams to assess…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-08 Chaoyi Gu , Jiaming Na , Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva

Chess engines passed human strength years ago, but they still don't play like humans. A grandmaster under clock pressure blunders in ways a club player on a hot streak never would. Conventional engines capture none of this. This paper…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Diego Armando Resendez Prado

Advancements in technology have recently allowed us to collect and analyse large-scale fine-grained data about human performance, drastically changing the way we approach sports. Here, we provide the first comprehensive analysis of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-07-22 Onkar Sadekar , Sandeep Chowdhary , M. S. Santhanam , Federico Battiston

Human beings often experience stress, which can significantly influence their performance. This study explores whether Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit stress responses similar to those of humans and whether their performance fluctuates…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-01-29 Guobin Shen , Dongcheng Zhao , Aorigele Bao , Xiang He , Yiting Dong , Yi Zeng

Today's competition between the professional eSports teams is so strong that in-depth analysis of players' performance literally crucial for creating a powerful team. There are two main approaches to such an estimation: obtaining features…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2019-08-20 Anton Smerdov , Evgeny Burnaev , Andrey Somov

Strategic decision-making requires balancing immediate opportunities against long-term objectives: a tension fundamental to competitive environments. We investigate this trade-off in chess by analyzing the dynamics of human and AI gameplay…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Adamo Cerioli , Edward D. Lee , Vito D. P. Servedio

Fitts' law has been widely employed as a research method for analyzing tasks within the domain of Human-Computer Interaction (HCI). However, its application to non-computer tasks has remained limited. This study aims to extend the…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-11-02 Kavya Anand , Pramit Saha

The hot streak, loosely defined as winning begets more winnings, highlights a specific period during which an individual's performance is substantially higher than her typical performance. While widely debated in sports, gambling, and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-09-05 Lu Liu , Yang Wang , Roberta Sinatra , C. Lee Giles , Chaoming Song , Dashun Wang

Understanding how competitive pressure affects risk-taking is crucial in sequential decision-making under uncertainty. This study examines these effects using bench press competition data, where individuals make risk-based choices under…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-03 Masaya Nishihata , Suguru Otani

Suppose some cleverness score parameter is sufficiently interesting to be defined and then measured, perhaps for different strata of specialists or for the broader population. Such phenomena could have Gaussian distributions, when it comes…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Nils Lid Hjort

Posture-based mental state inference has significant potential in diagnosing fatigue, preventing injury, and enhancing performance across various domains. Such tools must be research-validated with large datasets before being translated…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Abhishek Jaiswal , Nisheeth Srivastava

Individual sports competitions provide a natural setting for examining the relative importance of talent and luck/chance in achieving success. The belief that success is primarily due to individual abilities and hard work rather than…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-11-14 Chiara Zappalá , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

In this paper we examine the effectiveness of five mathematical models used to predict the outcomes of amateur darts games. These models not only predict the outcomes at the start of the game, but also update their estimations as the game…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Ayham Makhamra , Yelyzaveta Satynska , Michael Weselcouch

We report the results of a game-theoretic experiment with human players who solve the problems of increasing complexity by cooperating in groups of increasing size. Our experimental environment is set up to make it complicated for players…

Accurately estimating human skill levels is crucial for designing effective human-AI interactions so that AI can provide appropriate challenges or guidance. In games where AI players have beaten top human professionals, strength estimation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Kyota Kuboki , Tatsuyoshi Ogawa , Chu-Hsuan Hsueh , Shi-Jim Yen , Kokolo Ikeda
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