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The normal-normal hierarchical model (NNHM) constitutes a simple and widely used framework for meta-analysis. In the common case of only few studies contributing to the meta-analysis, standard approaches to inference tend to perform poorly,…

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a probabilistic interpretation for deep learning models by imposing a prior distribution over model parameters and inferring a posterior distribution based on observed data. The model sampled from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-15 Van-Anh Nguyen , Tung-Long Vuong , Hoang Phan , Thanh-Toan Do , Dinh Phung , Trung Le

Bayesian network structure learning is often performed in a Bayesian setting, evaluating candidate structures using their posterior probabilities for a given data set. Score-based algorithms then use those posterior probabilities as an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-14 Marco Scutari

One of the core facets of Bayesianism is in the updating of prior beliefs in light of new evidence$\text{ -- }$so how can we maintain a Bayesian approach if we have no prior beliefs in the first place? This is one of the central challenges…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Tommy Rochussen , Vincent Fortuin

Neural networks have achieved remarkable performance across various problem domains, but their widespread applicability is hindered by inherent limitations such as overconfidence in predictions, lack of interpretability, and vulnerability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-29 Julyan Arbel , Konstantinos Pitas , Mariia Vladimirova , Vincent Fortuin

Artificial Neural Networks are connectionist systems that perform a given task by learning on examples without having prior knowledge about the task. This is done by finding an optimal point estimate for the weights in every node.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-10 Kumar Shridhar , Felix Laumann , Marcus Liwicki

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently gained popularity due to their ability to quantify model uncertainty. However, specifying a prior for BNNs that captures relevant domain knowledge is often extremely challenging. In this work,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-22 Dylan Sam , Rattana Pukdee , Daniel P. Jeong , Yewon Byun , J. Zico Kolter

Bayesian analyses are often performed using so-called noninformative priors, with a view to achieving objective inference about unknown parameters on which available data depends. Noninformative priors depend on the relationship of the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-14 Nicholas Lewis

The need for function estimation in label-limited settings is common in the natural sciences. At the same time, prior knowledge of function values is often available in these domains. For example, data-free biophysics-based models can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-17 Hunter Nisonoff , Yixin Wang , Jennifer Listgarten

Bayesian likelihood-free inference, which is used to perform Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable, enjoys an increasing number of important scientific applications. However, many aspects of a Bayesian analysis become more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Atlanta Chakraborty , David J. Nott , Michael Evans

Noninformative priors constructed for estimation purposes are usually not appropriate for model selection and testing. The methodology of integral priors was developed to get prior distributions for Bayesian model selection when comparing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Diego Salmerón , Juan Antonio Cano , Christian P. Robert

In data sets with many predictors, algorithms for identifying a good subset of predictors are often used. Most such algorithms do not account for any relationships between predictors. For example, stepwise regression might select a model…

bayes-an · 物理学 2008-02-03 Hugh Chipman

The R package abn is designed to fit additive Bayesian models to observational datasets. It contains routines to score Bayesian networks based on Bayesian or information theoretic formulations of generalized linear models. It is equipped…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-21 Gilles Kratzer , Fraser Iain Lewis , Arianna Comin , Marta Pittavino , Reinhard Furrer

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) combine the expressive power of deep learning with the advantages of Bayesian formalism. In recent years, the analysis of wide, deep BNNs has provided theoretical insight into their priors and posteriors.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Beau Coker , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez

Whereas acausal Bayesian networks represent probabilistic independence, causal Bayesian networks represent causal relationships. In this paper, we examine Bayesian methods for learning both types of networks. Bayesian methods for learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 David Heckerman

Generative models produce realistic objects in many domains, including text, image, video, and audio synthesis. Most popular models---Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and Variational Autoencoders (VAEs)---usually employ a standard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-30 Maksim Kuznetsov , Daniil Polykovskiy , Dmitry Vetrov , Alexander Zhebrak

We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou

We show that it can be suboptimal for Bayesian decision-making agents employing social learning to use correct prior probabilities as their initial beliefs. We consider sequential Bayesian binary hypothesis testing where each individual…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Joong Bum Rhim , Vivek K Goyal