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Although there is much recent work developing flexible variational methods for Bayesian computation, Gaussian approximations with structured covariance matrices are often preferred computationally in high-dimensional settings. This paper…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Robert Salomone , Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-13 Marcel Hirt , Petros Dellaportas

Generalized linear latent variable models (GLLVMs) are a class of methods for analyzing multi-response data which has garnered considerable popularity in recent years, for example, in the analysis of multivariate abundance data in ecology.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Pekka Korhonen , Francis K. C. Hui , Jenni Niku , Sara Taskinen

Representation learning over graph structure data has been widely studied due to its wide application prospects. However, previous methods mainly focus on static graphs while many real-world graphs evolve over time. Modeling such evolution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-02 Tijin Yan , Hongwei Zhang , Zirui Li , Yuanqing Xia

In this paper we propose and analyze a novel multilevel version of Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD). SVGD is a recent particle based variational inference method. For Bayesian inverse problems with computationally expensive…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-02-05 Simon Weissmann , Jakob Zech

We present an approach for efficiently training Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) by Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) with non-stationary, high-dimensional streaming data. Our training scheme does not require data-driven parameter…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-05 Alexander Gepperth , Benedikt Pfülb

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-09 James Rice

We generalize the stochastic block model to the important case in which edges are annotated with weights drawn from an exponential family distribution. This generalization introduces several technical difficulties for model estimation,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-05-27 Christopher Aicher , Abigail Z. Jacobs , Aaron Clauset

A broad class of stochastic volatility models are defined by systems of stochastic differential equations. While these models have seen widespread success in domains such as finance and statistical climatology, they typically lack an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-15 Gregory Benton , Wesley J. Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Stochastic variational inference algorithms are derived for fitting various heteroskedastic time series models. We examine Gaussian, t, and skew-t response GARCH models and fit these using Gaussian variational approximating densities. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-30 Hanwen Xuan , Luca Maestrini , Feng Chen , Clara Grazian

One way to avoid overfitting in machine learning is to use model parameters distributed according to a Bayesian posterior given the data, rather than the maximum likelihood estimator. Stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD) is one…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-05 Gaétan Marceau-Caron , Yann Ollivier

Recent studies have shown that heavy tails can emerge in stochastic optimization and that the heaviness of the tails have links to the generalization error. While these studies have shed light on interesting aspects of the generalization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Anant Raj , Melih Barsbey , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Lingjiong Zhu , Umut Şimşekli

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

This paper studies a risk minimization problem with decision dependent data distribution. The problem pertains to the performative prediction setting in which a trained model can affect the outcome estimated by the model. Such dependency…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-07 Qiang Li , Hoi-To Wai

Surrogate models provide a quick-to-evaluate approximation to complex computational models and are essential for multi-query problems like design optimisation. The inputs of current deterministic computational models are usually…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

Latent space models (LSMs) are often used to analyze dynamic (time-varying) networks that evolve in continuous time. Existing approaches to Bayesian inference for these models rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which cannot handle…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Joshua Daniel Loyal

Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) is a sampling scheme for Bayesian modeling adapted to large datasets and models. SGLD relies on the injection of Gaussian Noise at each step of a Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) update. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-11 Henri Palacci , Henry Hess

We describe a numerical scheme for evaluating the posterior moments of Bayesian linear regression models with partial pooling of the coefficients. The principal analytical tool of the evaluation is a change of basis from coefficient space…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-01 Philip Greengard , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

Traditional Bayesian quantile regression relies on the Asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD) mainly because of its satisfactory empirical and theoretical performances. However, the ALD displays medium tails and it is not suitable for data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-19 Mauro Bernardi , Marco Bottone , Lea Petrella

With latent variables, stochastic recurrent models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in modeling sound-wave sequence. However, opposite results are also observed in other domains, where standard recurrent networks often outperform…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-17 Zihang Dai , Guokun Lai , Yiming Yang , Shinjae Yoo