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The distribution-free method of conformal prediction (Vovk et al, 2005) has gained considerable attention in computer science, machine learning, and statistics. Candes et al. (2023) extended this method to right-censored survival data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-04 Jing Qin , Jin Piao , Jing Ning , Yu Shen

This paper concerns the construction of confidence intervals in standard seroprevalence surveys. In particular, we discuss methods for constructing confidence intervals for the proportion of individuals in a population infected with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Thomas J. DiCiccio , David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

The bootstrap, introduced by Efron (1982), has become a very popular method for estimating variances and constructing confidence intervals. A key insight is that one can approximate the properties of estimators by using the empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Guido Imbens , Konrad Menzel

System reliability assessment(SRA) is a challenging task due to the limited experimental data and the complex nature of the system structures. Despite a long history dating back to \cite{buehler1957confidence}, exact methods have only been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-06 Junpeng Gong , Xu He , Zhaohui Li

Inference methods for computing confidence intervals in parametric settings usually rely on consistent estimators of the parameter of interest. However, it may be computationally and/or analytically burdensome to obtain such estimators in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-20 Samuel Orso , Mucyo Karemera , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Stéphane Guerrier

Propensity score (PS) methods are widely used to estimate treatment effects in non-randomized studies. Variance is typically estimated using sandwich or bootstrap methods, which can either treat the PS as estimated or fixed. The latter is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-17 Baoshan Zhang , Sean M. O'Brien , Yuan Wu , Laine E. Thomas

The bootstrap is a popular and convenient method for quantifying the authority of an empirical ordering of attributes, for example of a ranking of the performance of institutions or of the influence of genes on a response variable. In the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-20 Peter Hall , Hugh Miller

In the context of principal components analysis (PCA), the bootstrap is commonly applied to solve a variety of inference problems, such as constructing confidence intervals for the eigenvalues of the population covariance matrix $\Sigma$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-17 Junwen Yao , Miles E. Lopes

Statistical inference in competing risks models is often based on the famous Aalen-Johansen estimator. Since the corresponding limit process lacks independent increments, it is typically applied together with Lin's (1997) resampling…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-31 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

In this paper, we develop uniform inference methods for the conditional mode based on quantile regression. Specifically, we propose to estimate the conditional mode by minimizing the derivative of the estimated conditional quantile function…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-14 Tao Zhang , Kengo Kato , David Ruppert

Bootstrap is a popular methodology for simulating input uncertainty. However, it can be computationally expensive when the number of samples is large. We propose a new approach called \textbf{Orthogonal Bootstrap} that reduces the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-02 Kaizhao Liu , Jose Blanchet , Lexing Ying , Yiping Lu

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

Bootstrap smoothed (bagged) estimators have been proposed as an improvement on estimators found after preliminary data-based model selection. Efron, 2014, derived a widely applicable formula for a delta method approximation to the standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-11 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

The ISO 5725 series frames interlaboratory precision through repeatability, between-laboratory, and reproducibility variances, yet practical guidance on deploying bootstrap methods within this one-way random-effects setting remains limited.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Jun-ichi Takeshita , Kazuhiro Morita , Tomomichi Suzuki

The consistency of a bootstrap or resampling scheme is classically validated by weak convergence of conditional laws. However, when working with stochastic processes in the space of bounded functions and their weak convergence in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-05 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

This study aims to evaluate the performance of power in the likelihood ratio test for changepoint detection by bootstrap sampling, and proposes a hypothesis test based on bootstrapped confidence interval lengths. Assuming i.i.d normally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Ryan Chen , Javier Cabrera