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The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

In a growing renewable based energy system, accurate and reliable wind power forecasts are crucial for grid stability, balancing supply and demand and market risk management. Even though short-term weather forecasts have been thoroughly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

Despite the increasing importance of forecasts of renewable energy, current planning studies only address a general estimate of the forecast quality to be expected and selected forecast horizons. However, these estimates allow only a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-03 Jens Schreiber , Artjom Buschin , Bernhard Sick

Wind power prediction is of vital importance in wind power utilization. There have been a lot of researches based on the time series of the wind power or speed, but In fact, these time series cannot express the temporal and spatial changes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-19 Ruiguo Yu , Zhiqiang Liu , Xuewei Li , Wenhuan Lu , Mei Yu , Jianrong Wang , Bin Li

Optimal implementation and monitoring of wind energy generation hinge on reliable power modeling that is vital for understanding turbine control, farm operational optimization, and grid load balance. Based on the idea of similar wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Hao Chen

Wind speed prediction is critical to the management of wind power generation. Due to the large range of wind speed fluctuations and wake effect, there may also be strong correlations between long-distance wind turbines. This…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-27 Xuewei Li , Zewen Shang , Zhiqiang Liu , Jian Yu , Wei Xiong , Mei Yu

By the end of 2021, the renewable energy share of the global electricity capacity reached 38.3% and the new installations are dominated by wind and solar energy, showing global increases of 12.7% and 18.5%, respectively. However, both wind…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-18 Ágnes Baran , Sándor Baran

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

World is looking for clean and renewable energy sources that do not pollute the environment, in an attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. Wind energy has significant potential to not only reduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-31 Alif Bin Abdul Qayyum , Xihaier Luo , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

Because of the global need to increase power production from renewable energy resources, developments in the online monitoring of the associated infrastructure is of interest to reduce operation and maintenance costs. However, challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Simon M. Brealy , Lawrence A. Bull , Pauline Beltrando , Anders Sommer , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

Machine learning models have been employed to perform either physics-free data-driven or hybrid dynamical downscaling of climate data. Most of these implementations operate over relatively small downscaling factors because of the challenge…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-02-24 Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Yan Feng

In this article, we study the well known problem of wind estimation in atmospheric turbulence using small unmanned aerial systems (sUAS). We present a machine learning approach to wind velocity estimation based on quadcopter state…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-15 Sam Allison , He Bai , Balaji Jayaraman

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed are important for a wide range of applications, ranging from operational decision making in connection with wind power generation to storm warnings, ship routing and aviation. We present a statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-06 Michael Scheuerer , David Möller

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-05 Kostas Hatalis , Alberto J. Lamadrid , Katya Scheinberg , Shalinee Kishore

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

Rising global energy demand from population growth raises concerns about the sustainability of fossil fuels. Consequently, the energy sector has increasingly transitioned to renewable energy sources like solar and wind, which are naturally…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-30 Afsaneh Mollasalehi , Armin Farhadi

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

In this study, we present a method to predict the Received signal strength indication (RSSI) in an area of the base station. Traditional attenuated wave propagation models are often time consuming as well as computationally complex,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-22 Tung Giang Le , Huy Tung Quach , Thu Thao Dao Le , Manh Hoang Tran

An accurate solar wind speed model is important for space weather predictions, catastrophic event warnings, and other issues concerning solar wind - magnetosphere interaction. In this work, we construct a model based on convolutional neural…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-04-05 Rong Lin , Zhekai Luo , Jiansen He , Lun Xie , Chuanpeng Hou , Shuwei Chen

The share of wind power in fuel mixes worldwide has increased considerably. The main ingredient when deriving wind power predictions are wind speed data; the closer to the wind farms, the better they forecast the power supply. The current…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-17 Mihaela Puica , Fred Espen Benth