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Modern multivariate machine learning and statistical methodologies estimate parameters of interest while leveraging prior knowledge of the association between outcome variables. The methods that do allow for estimation of relationships do…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-10 Ben Sherwood , Bradley S. Price

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

We consider a finite mixture of regressions (FMR) model for high-dimensional inhomogeneous data where the number of covariates may be much larger than sample size. We propose an l1-penalized maximum likelihood estimator in an appropriate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann , Sara van de Geer

Researchers are often interested in understanding the relationship between a set of covariates and a set of response variables. To achieve this goal, the use of regression analysis, either linear or generalized linear models, is largely…

We develop quantile regression methods for discrete responses by extending Parzen's definition of marginal mid-quantiles. As opposed to existing approaches, which are based on either jittering or latent constructs, we use interpolation and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-25 Marco Geraci , Alessio Farcomeni

We propose a new family of error distributions for model-based quantile regression, which is constructed through a structured mixture of normal distributions. The construction enables fixing specific percentiles of the distribution while,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-10 Yifei Yan , Athanasios Kottas

A new approach for signal parametrization, which consists of a specific regression model incorporating a discrete hidden logistic process, is proposed. The model parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood method performed by a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

In ordinary quantile regression, quantiles of different order are estimated one at a time. An alternative approach, which is referred to as quantile regression coefficients modeling (QRCM), is to model quantile regression coefficients as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Paolo Frumento , Matteo Bottai , Iván Fernández-Val

We consider a generalization of the variance-gamma (generalized asymmetric Laplace) distribution, defined as a normal mean - variance mixture with a gamma mixing distribution. While this model is typically studied in the univariate setting,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Tomasz J. Kozubowski , Andrey Sarantsev , James A. Spiker

Expected Shortfall (ES), also known as superquantile or Conditional Value-at-Risk, has been recognized as an important measure in risk analysis and stochastic optimization, and is also finding applications beyond these areas. In finance, it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-13 Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

A reduced-rank mixed effects model is developed for robust modeling of sparsely observed paired functional data. In this model, the curves for each functional variable are summarized using a few functional principal components, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Huiya Zhou , Xiaomeng Yan , Lan Zhou

We address regularised versions of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm for Generalised Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) in the context of panel data (measured on several individuals at different time-points). A random response y is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-21 Jocelyn Chauvet , Catherine Trottier , Xavier Bry

In this short note the theory for multivariate asset allocation with elliptically symmetric distributions of returns, as developed in the author's prior work, is specialized to the case of returns drawn from a multivariate Laplace…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-15 Graham L. Giller

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

Expectile regression is a nice tool for investigating conditional distributions beyond the conditional mean. It is well-known that expectiles can be described with the help of the asymmetric least square loss function, and this link makes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-15 Muhammad Farooq , Ingo Steinwart

The univariate integer-valued time series has been extensively studied, but literature on multivariate integer-valued time series models is quite limited and the complex correlation structure among the multivariate integer-valued time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-01 Weiyang Yu , Haitao Zheng

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

Flexible estimation of multiple conditional quantiles is of interest in numerous applications, such as studying the effect of pregnancy-related factors on low and high birth weight. We propose a Bayesian non-parametric method to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Steven G. Xu , Brian J. Reich

We propose a method for estimating coefficients in multivariate regression when there is a clustering structure to the response variables. The proposed method includes a fusion penalty, to shrink the difference in fitted values from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Bradley S. Price , Ben Sherwood