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We introduce an approach based on mirror descent and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) to perform joint parameter inference and posterior estimation in latent variable models. This approach is based on minimisation of a functional over the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Francesca R. Crucinio

Scalable general-purpose representations of the built environment are crucial for geospatial artificial intelligence applications. This paper introduces S2Vec, a novel self-supervised framework for learning such geospatial embeddings. S2Vec…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Shushman Choudhury , Elad Aharoni , Chandrakumari Suvarna , Iveel Tsogsuren , Abdul Rahman Kreidieh , Chun-Ta Lu , Neha Arora

Although evaluation of the expectations on the Ising model is essential in various applications, it is mostly infeasible because of intractable multiple summations. Spatial Monte Carlo integration (SMCI) is a sampling-based approximation.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Kaiji Sekimoto , Muneki Yasuda

Sequential Monte Carlo Squared (SMC$^2$) is a Bayesian method which can infer the states and parameters of non-linear, non-Gaussian state-space models. The standard random-walk proposal in SMC$^2$ faces challenges, particularly with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-25 Conor Rosato , Joshua Murphy , Alessandro Varsi , Paul Horridge , Simon Maskell

Support vector machine (SVM) is a particularly powerful and flexible supervised learning model that analyzes data for both classification and regression, whose usual algorithm complexity scales polynomially with the dimension of data space…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-08 Chen Ding , Tian-Yi Bao , He-Liang Huang

Simulation methods have become important tools for quantifying partisan and racial bias in redistricting plans. We generalize the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm of McCartan and Imai (2023), one of the commonly used approaches.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Philip O'Sullivan , Kosuke Imai , Cory McCartan

The computational complexity of solving nonlinear support vector machine (SVM) is prohibitive on large-scale data. In particular, this issue becomes very sensitive when the data represents additional difficulties such as highly imbalanced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-09 E. Sadrfaridpour , T. Razzaghi , I. Safro

Technological developments and open data policies have made large, global environmental datasets accessible to everyone. For analysing such datasets, including spatiotemporal correlations using traditional models based on Gaussian processes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-01 Marius Appel , Edzer Pebesma

Variable selection over a potentially large set of covariates in a linear model is quite popular. In the Bayesian context, common prior choices can lead to a posterior expectation of the regression coefficients that is a sparse (or nearly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Debamita Kundu , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Evaluating the predictive performance of species distribution models (SDMs) under realistic deployment scenarios requires careful handling of spatial and temporal dependencies in the data. Cross-validation (CV) is the standard approach for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

Parametric verification of linear temporal properties for stochastic models can be expressed as computing the satisfaction probability of a certain property as a function of the parameters of the model. Smoothed model checking (smMC) aims…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-07 Luca Bortolussi , Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Paolo Pulcini

A space-filling curve (SFC) maps points in a multi-dimensional space to one-dimensional points by discretizing the multi-dimensional space into cells and imposing a linear order on the cells. This way, an SFC enables the indexing of…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Guanli Liu , Lars Kulik , Christian S. Jensen , Tianyi Li , Jianzhong Qi

Joint modeling of spatially-oriented dependent variables is commonplace in the environmental sciences, where scientists seek to estimate the relationships among a set of environmental outcomes accounting for dependence among these outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee , Andrew O. Finley

The Mat\'ern covariance function is a popular choice for modeling dependence in spatial environmental data. Standard Mat\'ern covariance models are, however, often computationally infeasible for large data sets. In this work, recent results…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 David Bolin , Finn Lindgren

We develop a new method to fit the multivariate response linear regression model that exploits a parametric link between the regression coefficient matrix and the error covariance matrix. Specifically, we assume that the correlations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-09 Aaron J. Molstad , Guangwei Weng , Charles R. Doss , Adam J. Rothman

We propose efficient computational methods to fit multivariate Gaussian additive models, where the mean vector and the covariance matrix are allowed to vary with covariates, in an empirical Bayes framework. To guarantee the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Vincenzo Gioia , Matteo Fasiolo , Ruggero Bellio , Simon N. Wood

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling is computationally expensive, especially for complex models. Alternative methods make simplifying assumptions about the posterior to reduce computational burden, but their impact on predictive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Florian D. van Leeuwen , Sara van Erp

Spatial autocorrelation measures such as Moran's index can be expressed as a pair of equations based on a standardized size variable and a globally normalized weight matrix. One is based on inner product, and the other is based on outer…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Yanguang Chen

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

This paper proposes a fast two-stage variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm to estimate unrestricted panel spatial autoregressive models. Using Dirichlet-Laplace priors, we are able to uncover the spatial relationships between cross-sectional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-23 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G. Hall , George S. Tavlas