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Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

In sequence learning tasks such as language modelling, Recurrent Neural Networks must learn relationships between input features separated by time. State of the art models such as LSTM and Transformer are trained by backpropagation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-04 Jeremy Gordon , David Rawlinson , Subutai Ahmad

The primary objective of this research is to build a Momentum Transformer that is expected to outperform benchmark time-series momentum and mean-reversion trading strategies. We extend the ideas introduced in the paper Trading with the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-18 Max Mason , Waasi A Jagirdar , David Huang , Rahul Murugan

We present a windowed technique to learn parsimonious time-varying autoregressive models from multivariate timeseries. This unsupervised method uncovers interpretable spatiotemporal structure in data via non-smooth and non-convex…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Kameron Decker Harris , Aleksandr Aravkin , Rajesh Rao , Bingni Wen Brunton

Accurate vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for ensuring safe and efficient autonomous driving. This work explores the integration of Transformer based model with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based technique to enhance spatial and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Chandra Raskoti , Weizi Li

Traditional time series analysis has long relied on pattern recognition, trained on static and well-established benchmarks. However, in real-world settings -- where policies shift, human behavior adapts, and unexpected events unfold --…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-16 Xinlei Wang , Mingtian Tan , Jing Qiu , Junhua Zhao , Jinjin Gu

Recurrent neural networks, and in particular long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, are a remarkably effective tool for sequence modeling that learn a dense black-box hidden representation of their sequential input. Researchers interested…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2017-10-31 Hendrik Strobelt , Sebastian Gehrmann , Hanspeter Pfister , Alexander M. Rush

This paper presents a novel latent variable recurrent neural network architecture for jointly modeling sequences of words and (possibly latent) discourse relations between adjacent sentences. A recurrent neural network generates individual…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-04-06 Yangfeng Ji , Gholamreza Haffari , Jacob Eisenstein

Behavior prediction based on historical behavioral data have practical real-world significance. It has been applied in recommendation, predicting academic performance, etc. With the refinement of user data description, the development of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Haobing Liu , Yanmin Zhu , Chunyang Wang , Jianyu Ding , Jiadi Yu , Feilong Tang

Recurrent neural networks with a gating mechanism such as an LSTM or GRU are powerful tools to model sequential data. In the mechanism, a forget gate, which was introduced to control information flow in a hidden state in the RNN, has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-08 Kentaro Ohno , Atsutoshi Kumagai

This paper presents a framework for processing EV charging load data in order to forecast future load predictions using a Recurrent Neural Network, specifically an LSTM. The framework processes a large set of raw data from multiple…

Long short-term memory (LSTM) based acoustic modeling methods have recently been shown to give state-of-the-art performance on some speech recognition tasks. To achieve a further performance improvement, in this research, deep extensions on…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2015-05-12 Xiangang Li , Xihong Wu

While neural networks have acted as a strong unifying force in the design of modern AI systems, the neural network architectures themselves remain highly heterogeneous due to the variety of tasks to be solved. In this chapter, we explore…

Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-03 Changwei Hu , Yifan Hu , Sungyong Seo

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

While LSTMs show increasingly promising results for forecasting Financial Time Series (FTS), this paper seeks to assess if attention mechanisms can further improve performance. The hypothesis is that attention can help prevent long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-20 Thomas Hollis , Antoine Viscardi , Seung Eun Yi

Accurate time series prediction is challenging due to the inherent nonlinearity and sensitivity to initial conditions. We propose a novel approach that enhances neural network predictions through differential learning, which involves…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Akash Yadav , Eulalia Nualart

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

Attention mechanisms represent a fundamental paradigm shift in neural network architectures, enabling models to selectively focus on relevant portions of input sequences through learned weighting functions. This monograph provides a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Hasi Hays

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Recurrent Neural networks (RNNs) rely on gating signals, each driven by a function of a weighted sum of at least 3 components: (i) one of an adaptive weight matrix multiplied by the incoming external input…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-01-01 Fathi M. Salem