中文
相关论文

相关论文: Machine learning for prediction of extreme statist…

200 篇论文

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

This work investigates the detection of instabilities that may occur when utilizing deep learning models for image reconstruction tasks. Although neural networks often empirically outperform traditional reconstruction methods, their usage…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-31 Jan Macdonald , Maximilian März , Luis Oala , Wojciech Samek

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

This paper proposes a tractable framework to determine key characteristics of non-linear dynamic systems by converting physics-informed neural networks to a mixed integer linear program. Our focus is on power system applications.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-01 Georgios S. Misyris , Jochen Stiasny , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

The study of plasma physics under conditions of extreme temperatures, densities and electromagnetic field strengths is significant for our understanding of astrophysics, nuclear fusion and fundamental physics. These extreme physical systems…

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

This paper studies the problem of steering the distribution of a discrete-time dynamical system from an initial distribution to a target distribution in finite time. The formulation is fully nonlinear, allowing the use of general control…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-05 George Rapakoulias , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Numerical modeling of different structural materials that have highly nonlinear behaviors has always been a challenging problem in engineering disciplines. Experimental data is commonly used to characterize this behavior. This study aims to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-28 Elif Ecem Bas , Denis Aslangil , Mohamed A. Moustafa

Predicting extreme events in nonlinear dynamical systems is challenging due to a limited understanding of their statistical properties. This study numerically and theoretically investigates the statistical properties of infinite-modal maps…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-04-07 Masaki Nakagawa

Machine learning techniques are used to predict theoretical constraints such as unitarity and boundedness from below in extensions of the Standard Model. This approach has proven effective for models incorporating additional SU(2) scalar…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-12-19 Darius Jurčiukonis

Learning, whether natural or artificial, is a process of selection. It starts with a set of candidate options and selects the more successful ones. In the case of machine learning the selection is done based on empirical estimates of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Yevgeny Seldin

Machine learning has recently been applied and deployed at several light source facilities in the domain of Accelerator Physics. We introduce an approach based on machine learning to produce a fast-executing model that predicts the…

加速器物理 · 物理学 2022-01-19 Ryan Sheppard , Cameron Baribeau , Tor Pedersen , Mark Boland , Drew Bertwistle

This paper proposes a model predictive controller for discrete-time linear systems with additive, possibly unbounded, stochastic disturbances and subject to chance constraints. By computing a polytopic probabilistic positively invariant set…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-23 Kai Wang , Kiet Tuan Hoang , Sébastien Gros

A central problem in uncertainty quantification is how to characterize the impact that our incomplete knowledge about models has on the predictions we make from them. This question naturally lends itself to a probabilistic formulation, by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-09-03 Giovanni Dematteis , Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

To predict rare extreme events using deep neural networks, one encounters the so-called small data problem because even long-term observations often contain few extreme events. Here, we investigate a model-assisted framework where the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-20 Anna Asch , Ethan Brady , Hugo Gallardo , John Hood , Bryan Chu , Mohammad Farazmand

We develop a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) based framework for model-free prediction of the occurrence of extreme events both in time ("when") and in space ("where") in nonlinear physical systems of spatial dimension two. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-01 Junjie Jiang , Zi-Gang Huang , Celso Grebogi , Ying-Cheng Lai

Performative prediction is an emerging paradigm in machine learning that addresses scenarios where the model's prediction may induce a shift in the distribution of the data it aims to predict. Current works in this field often rely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

The introduction of unexpected system disturbances and new system dynamics does not allow guaranteed continuous system stability. In this research we present a novel approach for detecting early failure indicators of non-linear highly…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-02 Amr Mahmoud , Youmna Ismaeil , Mohamed Zohdy

When extreme weather events affect large areas, their regional to sub-continental spatial scale is important for their impacts. We propose a novel machine learning (ML) framework that integrates spatial extreme-value theory to model weather…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-29 Jonathan Koh , Daniel Steinfeld , Olivia Martius