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Introducing inequality constraints in Gaussian process (GP) models can lead to more realistic uncertainties in learning a great variety of real-world problems. We consider the finite-dimensional Gaussian approach from Maatouk and Bay (2017)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-04 Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Olivier Roustant

This paper presents an efficient multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization approach for analog circuit synthesis. The proposed method can significantly reduce the overall computational cost by fusing the simple but potentially inaccurate…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-03 Shuhan Zhang , Wenlong Lyu , Fan Yang , Changhao Yan , Dian Zhou , Xuan Zeng , Xiangdong Hu

We present an approach for modeling and imputation of nonignorable missing data. Our approach uses Bayesian data integration to combine (1) a Gaussian copula model for all study variables and missingness indicators, which allows arbitrary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Jerome P. Reiter , Daniel R. Kowal

In this work we consider Bayesian inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. We present a method to compute an approximate of the posterior with a limited number of model simulations. The method features an inverse Gaussian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Hongqiao Wang , Ziqiao Ao , Tengchao Yu , Jinglai Li

Bayesian optimization (BO) methods are useful for optimizing functions that are expensive to evaluate, lack an analytical expression and whose evaluations can be contaminated by noise. These methods rely on a probabilistic model of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-04 Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

Missing data is a common concern in health datasets, and its impact on good decision-making processes is well documented. Our study's contribution is a methodology for tackling missing data problems using a combination of synthetic dataset…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Gift Khangamwa , Terence L. van Zyl , Clint J. van Alten

Time-series analysis is often affected by missing data, a common problem across several fields, including healthcare and environmental monitoring. Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE) has been prominent for imputing missing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Amuche Ibenegbu , Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux , Rohitash Chandra

This article presents an approach to Bayesian semiparametric inference for Gaussian multivariate response regression. We are motivated by various small and medium dimensional problems from the physical and social sciences. The statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-18 Georgios Papageorgiou , Benjamin C. Marshall

Many real world problems exhibit patterns that have periodic behavior. For example, in astrophysics, periodic variable stars play a pivotal role in understanding our universe. An important step when analyzing data from such processes is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-08-20 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Pavlos Protopapas

In Bayesian statistics, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of a quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-11 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

We introduce the Markov missing graph (MMG), a novel framework that imputes missing data based on undirected graphs. MMG leverages conditional independence relationships to locally decompose the imputation model. To establish the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Yanjiao Yang , Yen-Chi Chen

We introduce a Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model that explicitly captures spatial correlations in data using a parameterized spatial kernel and leveraging structure-exploiting algebra on the model covariance matrices for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-23 Steven Atkinson , Nicholas Zabaras

Missing value imputation is crucial for real-world data science workflows. Imputation is harder in the online setting, as it requires the imputation method itself to be able to evolve over time. For practical applications, imputation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-17 Yuxuan Zhao , Eric Landgrebe , Eliot Shekhtman , Madeleine Udell

We introduce a novel formulation of motion planning, for continuous-time trajectories, as probabilistic inference. We first show how smooth continuous-time trajectories can be represented by a small number of states using sparse Gaussian…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-11-26 Mustafa Mukadam , Jing Dong , Xinyan Yan , Frank Dellaert , Byron Boots

We investigate the asymptotic properties of Bayesian bivariate causal discovery for Gaussian Linear Structural Equation Models (SEMs) with heteroscedastic noise. We demonstrate that with purely observational data, the posterior distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-30 Valentinian Lungu , Anish Dhir , Mark van der Wilk , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

This study proposes the first Bayesian approach for learning high-dimensional linear Bayesian networks. The proposed approach iteratively estimates each element of the topological ordering from backward and its parent using the inverse of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-28 Seyong Hwang , Kyoungjae Lee , Sunmin Oh , Gunwoong Park

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche