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Any supervised machine learning analysis is required to provide an estimate of the out-of-sample predictive performance. However, it is imperative to also provide a quantification of the uncertainty of this performance in the form of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-13 Konstantinos Paraschakis , Andrea Castellani , Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems increasingly influence safety-critical aspects of society, from medical diagnosis to autonomous mobility, making uncertainty awareness a central requirement for trustworthy AI. We present a photonic…

In this paper, we aim to solve Bayesian Risk Optimization (BRO), which is a recently proposed framework that formulates simulation optimization under input uncertainty. In order to efficiently solve the BRO problem, we derive nested…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-17 Sait Cakmak , Di Wu , Enlu Zhou

Information processing in the brain is coordinated by the dynamic activity of neurons and neural populations at a range of spatiotemporal scales. These dynamics, captured in the form of electrophysiological recordings and neuroimaging, show…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2025-10-27 Ramón Nartallo-Kaluarachchi , Morten L. Kringelbach , Gustavo Deco , Renaud Lambiotte , Alain Goriely

An algorithm is presented that, taking a sequence of independent Bernoulli random variables with parameter $1/2$ as inputs and using only rational arithmetic, simulates a Bernoulli random variable with possibly irrational parameter $\tau$.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-03 Luis Mendo

In Bayesian inference, predictive distributions are typically in the form of samples generated via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or related algorithms. In this paper, we conduct a systematic analysis of how to make and evaluate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-25 Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

Over recent years, deep learning based image registration has achieved impressive accuracy in many domains, including medical imaging and, specifically, human neuroimaging with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). However, the uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Xiaoling Hu , Karthik Gopinath , Peirong Liu , Malte Hoffmann , Koen Van Leemput , Oula Puonti , Juan Eugenio Iglesias

The Bayesian Cram\'er-Rao bound (BCRB) is a crucial tool in signal processing for assessing the fundamental limitations of any estimation problem as well as benchmarking within a Bayesian frameworks. However, the BCRB cannot be computed…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-11 Hai Victor Habi , Hagit Messer , Yoram Bresler

The standard approach to analyzing brain electrical activity is to examine the spectral density function (SDF) and identify predefined frequency bands that have the most substantial relative contributions to the overall variance of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-26 Guillermo Granados-Garcia , Mark Fiecas , Babak Shahbaba , Norbert Fortin , Hernando Ombao

Studying the flow of information between different areas of the brain can be performed by using the so-called Partial Directed Coherence. This measure is usually evaluated by first identifying a multivariate autoregressive model, and then…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2013-11-26 Pierre-Olivier Amblard

Cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) is one of the essential tools to ensure oxygen supply during cardiac arrest. However, the precise effects of chest compression are not quantifiable to this day. This often results in a low quality of…

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

The expected improvement (EI) algorithm is a popular strategy for information collection in optimization under uncertainty. The algorithm is widely known to be too greedy, but nevertheless enjoys wide use due to its simplicity and ability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-30 Chao Qin , Diego Klabjan , Daniel Russo

Stochastic systems in biology often exhibit substantial variability within and between cells. This variability, as well as having dramatic functional consequences, provides information about the underlying details of the system's behaviour.…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-11-09 Iain G. Johnston

Cardiovascular stability estimation from wearable photoplethysmography (PPG) requires a principled nonlinear framework, yet major gaps persist in heuristic parameter selection and evaluation protocols that inflate reported performance. We…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-20 Timothy Oladunni , Farouk Ganiyu Adewumi

Due to the growing number of MRI data, automated quality control (QC) has become essential, especially for larger scale analysis. Several attempts have been made in order to develop reliable and scalable QC pipelines. However, the…

A biosignal is a signal that can be continuously measured from human bodies, such as respiratory sounds, heart activity (ECG), brain waves (EEG), etc, based on which, machine learning models have been developed with very promising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-26 Tong Xia , Jing Han , Cecilia Mascolo

Bayesian optimisation (BO) has been a successful approach to optimise functions which are expensive to evaluate and whose observations are noisy. Classical BO algorithms, however, do not account for errors about the location where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-22 Rafael Oliveira , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

A change in the number of motor units that operate a particular muscle is an important indicator for the progress of a neuromuscular disease and the efficacy of a therapy. Inference for realistic statistical models of the typical data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-12 Simon Taylor , Chris Sherlock , Gareth Ridall , Paul Fearnhead

Decarbonization of the transport sector sets increasingly strict demands to maximize thermal efficiency and minimize greenhouse gas emissions of Internal Combustion Engines. This has led to complex engines with a surge in the number of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-27 Maarten Vlaswinkel , Duarte Antunes , Frank Willems
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