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Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

This article proposes methods to model nonstationary temporal graph processes. This corresponds to modelling the observation of edge variables (relationships between objects) indicating interactions between pairs of nodes (or objects)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-07 Maria Suveges , Sofia C. Olhede

The use of video-imaging data for in-line process monitoring applications has become more and more popular in the industry. In this framework, spatio-temporal statistical process monitoring methods are needed to capture the relevant…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-24 Hao Yan , Marco Grasso , Kamran Paynabar , Bianca Maria Colosimo

Spatio-temporal models for infection counts generally follow themes of the broader disease mapping literature, but may need to address specific features of spatio-temporal infection data including considerable time fluctuations (with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-22 P. Congdon

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been widely used for modeling temporal dependence in a multivariate time series. For large (and even moderate) dimensions, the number of AR coefficients can be prohibitively large, resulting in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

In this paper we propose a heterogeneous modeling framework which achieves individual-wise feature selection and individualized covariates' effects subgrouping simultaneously. In contrast to conventional model selection approaches, the new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Xiwei Tang , Fei Xue , Annie Qu

Large network logs, recording multivariate time series generated from heterogeneous devices and sensors in a network, can often reveal important information about abnormal activities, such as network intrusions and device malfunctions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-19 Yijun Lin , Yao-Yi Chiang

Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-03 Rasool Fakoor , Jonas Mueller , Zachary C. Lipton , Pratik Chaudhari , Alexander J. Smola

Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-06 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

The anomaly detection problem for univariate or multivariate time series is a critical question in many practical applications as industrial processes control, biological measures, engine monitoring, supervision of all kinds of behavior. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-16 Marie Cottrell , Cynthia Faure , Jérôme Lacaille , Madalina Olteanu

This work is motivated by the needs of predictive analytics on healthcare data as represented by Electronic Medical Records. Such data is invariably problematic: noisy, with missing entries, with imbalance in classes of interests, leading…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-28 Talayeh Razzaghi , Oleg Roderick , Ilya Safro , Nicholas Marko

Recently, evolving networks are becoming a suitable form to model many real-world complex systems, due to their peculiarities to represent the systems and their constituting entities, the interactions between the entities and the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-09-21 Angelo Impedovo , Corrado Loglisci , Michelangelo Ceci

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

Temporal data, obtained in the setting where it is only possible to observe one time point per experiment, is widely used in different research fields, yet remains insufficiently addressed from the statistical point of view. Such data often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

Event detection in time series data is crucial in various domains, including finance, healthcare, cybersecurity, and science. Accurately identifying events in time series data is vital for making informed decisions, detecting anomalies, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Menouar Azib , Benjamin Renard , Philippe Garnier , Vincent Génot , Nicolas André

Augmenting classical epidemiological models with information from the social sciences helps unveil the interplay between contagion dynamics and social responses. However, multidisciplinary integration of social analysis and epidemiological…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-07-29 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

Graphical interaction models have become an important tool for analysing multivariate time series. In these models, the interrelationships among the components of a time series are described by undirected graphs in which the vertices depict…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-02 Michael Eichler

A multivariate time series refers to observations of two or more variables taken from a device or a system simultaneously over time. There is an increasing need to monitor multivariate time series and detect anomalies in real time to ensure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-29 Ming-Chang Lee , Jia-Chun Lin

This review article provides an overview of recent work in the modeling and analysis of recurrent events arising in engineering, reliability, public health, biomedicine and other areas. Recurrent event modeling possesses unique facets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-08-03 Edsel A. Peña

Much of scientific data is collected as randomized experiments intervening on some and observing other variables of interest. Quite often, a given phenomenon is investigated in several studies, and different sets of variables are involved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-19 Antti Hyttinen , Frederick Eberhardt , Patrik O. Hoyer
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