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A protocol for distributed estimation of discrete distributions is proposed. Each agent begins with a single sample from the distribution, and the goal is to learn the empirical distribution of the samples. The protocol is based on a simple…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-06-06 Anand D. Sarwate , Tara Javidi

Online learning via Bayes' theorem allows new data to be continuously integrated into an agent's current beliefs. However, a naive application of Bayesian methods in non stationary environments leads to slow adaptation and results in state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Josue Nassar , Jennifer Brennan , Ben Evans , Kendall Lowrey

We study the performance of different methods for processing information, incorporating narrative selection within an evolutionary model. All agents update their beliefs according to Bayes' Rule, but some strategically choose the narrative…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-06 Federico Innocenti , Roberto Rozzi

Background: Confirmation bias is the tendency to acquire or evaluate new information in a way that is consistent with one's preexisting beliefs. It is omnipresent in psychology, economics, and even scientific practices. Prior theoretical…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-11-18 A. E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan

A standard belief on emerging collective behavior is that it emerges from simple individual rules. Most of the mathematical research on such collective behavior starts from imperative individual rules, like always go to the center. But how…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-02-23 El Mahdi El Mhamdi , Rachid Guerraoui , Alexandre Maurer , Vladislav Tempez

The spread of disinformation (maliciously spread false information) in online social networks has become an important problem in today's society. Disinformation's spread is facilitated by the fact that individuals often accept false…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-04-15 Corbit R. Sampson , Juan G. Restrepo

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Most works on multi-agent reinforcement learning focus on scenarios where the state of the environment is fully observable. In this work, we consider a cooperative policy evaluation task in which agents are not assumed to observe the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-17 Mert Kayaalp , Fatima Ghadieh , Ali H. Sayed

This paper introduces a generalised opinion model that extends the standard DeGroot model by representing agents' opinions and influences as soft constraints rather than single real values. This allows for modelling scenarios beyond the…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Fabio Gadducci , Carlos Olarte , Frank Valencia

The adaptive social learning paradigm helps model how networked agents are able to form opinions on a state of nature and track its drifts in a changing environment. In this framework, the agents repeatedly update their beliefs based on…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-03-15 Valentina Shumovskaia , Mert Kayaalp , Mert Cemri , Ali H. Sayed

We study non-Bayesian social learning on random directed graphs and show that under mild connectivity assumptions, all the agents almost surely learn the true state of the world asymptotically in time if the sequence of the associated…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-08-02 Rohit Parasnis , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

Bayesian learning is a powerful learning framework which combines the external information of the data (background information) with the internal information (training data) in a logically consistent way in inference and prediction. By…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Erdong Guo , David Draper

As machine learning algorithms are increasingly deployed for high-impact automated decision making, ethical and increasingly also legal standards demand that they treat all individuals fairly, without discrimination based on their age,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-03 Maarten Buyl , Tijl De Bie

Bayesian persuasion is a model for understanding strategic information revelation: an agent with an informational advantage, called a sender, strategically discloses information by sending signals to another agent, called a receiver. In…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Kaito Fujii , Shinsaku Sakaue

We present a novel distributed probabilistic bisection algorithm using social learning with application to target localization. Each agent in the network first constructs a query about the target based on its local information and obtains a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-12-30 Athanasios Tsiligkaridis , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis

We present an opinion model founded upon the principles of the bounded confidence interaction among agents. Our objective is to explain the polarization effects inherent to vector-valued opinions. The evolutionary process adheres to the…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2023-12-25 Jacek Cyranka , Piotr B. Mucha

We design a double-or-quits game to compare the speed of learning one's specific ability with the speed of rising confidence as the task gets increasingly difficult. We find that people on average learn to be overconfident faster than they…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Louis Lévy-Garboua , Muniza Askari , Marco Gazel

The Bayesian persuasion paradigm of strategic communication models interaction between a privately-informed agent, called the sender, and an ignorant but rational agent, called the receiver. The goal is typically to design a (near-)optimal…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-06-21 Ronen Gradwohl , Niklas Hahn , Martin Hoefer , Rann Smorodinsky

We introduce a class of neural networks derived from probabilistic models in the form of Bayesian belief networks. By imposing additional assumptions about the nature of the probabilistic models represented in the belief networks, we derive…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. J. Barber , J. W. Clark , C. H. Anderson

Peer prediction refers to a collection of mechanisms for eliciting information from human agents when direct verification of the obtained information is unavailable. They are designed to have a game-theoretic equilibrium where everyone…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-10-28 Shi Feng , Fang-Yi Yu , Yiling Chen
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