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We develop a general theory of omitted variable bias for a wide range of common causal parameters, including (but not limited to) averages of potential outcomes, average treatment effects, average causal derivatives, and policy effects from…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-28 Victor Chernozhukov , Carlos Cinelli , Whitney Newey , Amit Sharma , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Convenient access to observational data enables us to learn causal effects without randomized experiments. This research direction draws increasing attention in research areas such as economics, healthcare, and education. For example, we…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

Instrumental variables regression is a tool that is commonly used in the analysis of observational data. The instrumental variables are used to make causal inference about the effect of a certain exposure in the presence of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

Nearly all statistical analyses that inform policy-making are based on imperfect data. As examples, the data may suffer from measurement errors, missing values, sample selection bias, or record linkage errors. Analysts have to decide how to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for informing treatment guidelines, but results may not generalize to real-world populations. Generalizability is hindered by distributional differences in baseline covariates and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Rachael K. Ross , Ivan Diaz , Amy J. Pitts , Elizabeth A. Stuart , Kara E. Rudolph

Advancements in data collection techniques and the heterogeneity of data resources can yield high percentages of missing observations on variables, such as block-wise missing data. Under missing-data scenarios, traditional methods such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-17 Wei Lan , Xuerong Chen , Tao Zou , Chih-Ling Tsai

It is often said that the fundamental problem of causal inference is a missing data problem -- the comparison of responses to two hypothetical treatment assignments is made difficult because for every experimental unit only one potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-21 Razieh Nabi , Rohit Bhattacharya , Ilya Shpitser , James M. Robins

To conduct causal inference in observational settings, researchers must rely on certain identifying assumptions. In practice, these assumptions are unlikely to hold exactly. This paper considers the bias of selection-on-observables,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Melody Huang , Cory McCartan

A randomized trial and an analysis of observational data designed to emulate the trial sample observations separately, but have the same eligibility criteria, collect information on some shared baseline covariates, and compare the effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Issa J. Dahabreh , Jon A. Steingrimsson , James M. Robins , Miguel A. Hernán

Stratification in both the design and analysis of randomized clinical trials is common. Despite features in automated randomization systems to re-confirm the stratifying variables, incorrect values of these variables may be entered. These…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-24 Neal Thomas

Missing data on response variables are common in clinical studies. Corresponding to the uncertainty of missing mechanism, theoretical frameworks on controlled imputation have been developed. In practice, it is recommended to conduct a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Tony Wang , Ying Liu

In multi-center clinical trials, due to various reasons, the individual-level data are strictly restricted to be assessed publicly. Instead, the summarized information is widely available from published results. With the advance of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-05 Jing Qin , Yukun Liu , Pengfei Li

Recent years have experienced increasing utilization of complex machine learning models across multiple sources of data to inform more generalizable decision-making. However, distribution shifts across data sources and privacy concerns…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Sharon-Lise Normand , Larry Han

PURPOSE: Clinical examinations are performed on the basis of necessity. However, our decisions to investigate and document are influenced by various other factors, such as workload and preconceptions. Data missingness patterns may contain…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-12-19 Robert O'Shea

Two key identifying assumptions used to justify difference-in-differences are parallel trends and no anticipation, yet both may fail in practice. I propose a class of assumptions on anticipation and derive closed-form, sharp bounds on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-03 Gianna Fenaroli

Most information dynamics and statistical causal analysis frameworks rely on the common intuition that causal interactions are intrinsically pairwise -- every 'cause' variable has an associated 'effect' variable, so that a 'causal arrow'…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2019-09-06 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando Rosas , Robin L. Carhart-Harris , Anil K. Seth , Adam B. Barrett

Randomized controlled trials (RCT's) allow researchers to estimate causal effects in an experimental sample with minimal identifying assumptions. However, to generalize or transport a causal effect from an RCT to a target population,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-08 Melody Huang

Most practical data science problems encounter missing data. A wide variety of solutions exist, each with strengths and weaknesses that depend upon the missingness-generating process. Here we develop a theoretical framework for training and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-15 Jahan C. Penny-Dimri , Christoph Bergmeir , Julian Smith

A core component of precision medicine research involves optimizing individualized treatment rules (ITRs) based on patient characteristics. Many studies used to estimate ITRs are longitudinal in nature, collecting outcomes over time. Yet,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-29 Lanqiu Yao , Thaddeus Tarpey

Mobile health studies can leverage longitudinal sensor data from smartphones to guide the application of personalized medical interventions. In this paper, we propose that adoption of an instrumental variable approach for randomized trials…

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