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We believe that "all men are created equal". With the rise of the police shootings reported by media, more people in the U.S. think that police use excessive force during law enforcement, especially to a specific group of people. We want to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-06-30 Yuan Wang , Yangxin Fan

This paper presents a simple shrinkage estimator of rates based on Bayesian methods. Our focus is on crime rates as a motivating example. The estimator shrinks each town's observed crime rate toward the country-wide average crime rate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-18 Einar Holsbø , Vittorio Perduca

Whittle index is a generalization of Gittins index that provides very efficient allocation rules for restless multi-armed bandits. In this work, we develop an algorithm to test the indexability and compute the Whittle indices of any…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2023-06-23 Nicolas Gast , Bruno Gaujal , Kimang Khun

Near repeat (NR) is a well known phenomenon in crime analysis assuming that crime events exhibit correlations within a given time and space frame. Traditional NR calculation generates 2 event pairs if 2 events happened within a given space…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-03-27 Zhaoming Yin , Xuan Shi

The `Signal plus Noise' model for nonparametric regression can be extended to the case of observations taken at the vertices of a graph. This model includes many familiar regression problems. This article discusses the use of the edges of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-11-11 Arne Kovac , Andrew D. A. C. Smith

Regression splines are largely used to investigate and predict data behavior, attracting the interest of mathematicians for their beautiful numerical properties, and of statisticians for their versatility with respect to the applications.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-09 Rosanna Campagna , Serena Crisci , Gabriele Santin , Gerardo Toraldo , Marco Viola

In the past decades, the growing amount of network data has lead to many novel statistical models. In this paper we consider so called geometric networks. Typical examples are road networks or other infrastructure networks. But also the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Marc Schneble , Göran Kauermann

Sharpe Ratio (SR) is a critical parameter in characterizing financial time series as it jointly considers the reward and the volatility of any stock/portfolio through its variance. Deriving online algorithms for optimizing the SR is…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-06-12 Sabrina Khurshid , Mohammed Shahid Abdulla , Gourab Ghatak

The objective of this work is to take advantage of deep neural networks in order to make next day crime count predictions in a fine-grain city partition. We make predictions using Chicago and Portland crime data, which is augmented with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-06 Alexander Stec , Diego Klabjan

Several learning problems involve solving min-max problems, e.g., empirical distributional robust learning or learning with non-standard aggregated losses. More specifically, these problems are convex-linear problems where the minimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-07 Christophe Roux , Elias Wirth , Sebastian Pokutta , Thomas Kerdreux

Penalized spline smoothing is a popular and flexible method of obtaining estimates in nonparametric regression but the classical least-squares criterion is highly susceptible to model deviations and atypical observations. Penalized spline…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-12 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

Crime rates per capita are used virtually everywhere to rank and compare cities. However, their usage relies on a strong linear assumption that crime increases at the same pace as the number of people in a region. In this paper, we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-03-17 Marcos Oliveira

We consider a general statistical learning problem where an unknown fraction of the training data is corrupted. We develop a robust learning method that only requires specifying an upper bound on the corrupted data fraction. The method…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-10 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Peter Stoica

We consider the weighted least squares spline approximation of a noisy dataset. By interpreting the weights as a probability distribution, we maximize the associated entropy subject to the constraint that the mean squared error is…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-01-19 Luigi Brugnano , Domenico Giordano , Felice Iavernaro , Giorgia Rubino

We consider the problem of choosing between several models in least-squares regression with heteroscedastic data. We prove that any penalization procedure is suboptimal when the penalty is a function of the dimension of the model, at least…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-07-28 Sylvain Arlot

We propose a regression model for count data when the classical generalized linear model approach is too rigid due to a high outcome of zero counts and a nonlinear influence of continuous covariates. Zero-Inflation is applied to take into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-04-12 T. Opitz , P. Tramini , N. Molinari

Recently, bandit optimization has received significant attention in real-world safety-critical systems that involve repeated interactions with humans. While there exist various algorithms with performance guarantees in the literature,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Amirhossein Afsharrad , Ahmadreza Moradipari , Sanjay Lall

Complex networks are nowadays employed in several applications. Modeling urban street networks is one of them, and in particular to analyze criminal aspects of a city. Several research groups have focused on such application, but until now,…

We consider linear stochastic bandits where the set of actions is an ellipsoid. We provide the first known minimax optimal algorithm for this problem. We first derive a novel information-theoretic lower bound on the regret of any algorithm,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Raymond Zhang , Hedi Hadiji , Richard Combes

Penalized spline estimation with discrete difference penalties (P-splines) is a popular estimation method for semiparametric models, but the classical least-squares estimator is highly sensitive to deviations from its ideal model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-24 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst