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相关论文: Causal Inference via Kernel Deviance Measures

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The assumption of independence between observations (units) in a dataset is prevalent across various methodologies for learning causal graphical models. However, this assumption often finds itself in conflict with real-world data, posing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

Causal inference is difficult in the presence of unobserved confounders. We introduce the instrumented common confounding (ICC) approach to (nonparametrically) identify causal effects with instruments, which are exogenous only conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-20 Christian Tien

Detecting and localizing change points in sequential data is of interest in many areas of application. Various notions of change points have been proposed, such as changes in mean, variance, or the linear regression coefficient. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-20 Shimeng Huang , Jonas Peters , Niklas Pfister

At the heart of causal structure learning from observational data lies a deceivingly simple question: given two statistically dependent random variables, which one has a causal effect on the other? This is impossible to answer using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-13 Nikolaos Nikolaou , Konstantinos Sechidis

A structural causal model is made of endogenous (manifest) and exogenous (latent) variables. We show that endogenous observations induce linear constraints on the probabilities of the exogenous variables. This allows to exactly map a causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

We study the estimation of causal parameters when not all confounders are observed and instead negative controls are available. Recent work has shown how these can enable identification and efficient estimation via two so-called bridge…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-11 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Masatoshi Uehara

We introduce computational causal inference as an interdisciplinary field across causal inference, algorithms design and numerical computing. The field aims to develop software specializing in causal inference that can analyze massive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-22 Jeffrey C. Wong

Many frameworks exist to infer cause and effect relations in complex nonlinear systems but a complete theory is lacking. A new framework is presented that is fully nonlinear, provides a complete information theoretic disentanglement of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-12 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Michael DeCaria , Nachiketa Chakaborty , Manuel Pulido

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Reconstructing the causal relationships behind the phenomena we observe is a fundamental challenge in all areas of science. Discovering causal relationships through experiments is often infeasible, unethical, or expensive in complex…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-09 Christian Reiser

Latent variables pose a fundamental challenge to causal discovery and inference. Conventional local methods focus on direct neighbors but fail to provide macro level insights. Cluster level methods enable macro causal reasoning but either…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Zongyu Li

Uncovering causal relationships in data is a major objective of data analytics. Causal relationships are normally discovered with designed experiments, e.g. randomised controlled trials, which, however are expensive or infeasible to be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-11-01 Jiuyong Li , Saisai Ma , Thuc Duy Le , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu

Causal discovery from time series is a fundamental task in machine learning. However, its widespread adoption is hindered by a reliance on untestable causal assumptions and by the lack of robustness-oriented evaluation in existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Huiyang Yi , Xiaojian Shen , Yonggang Wu , Duxin Chen , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

In real-life statistical data, it seems that conditional probabilities for the effect given their causes tend to be less complex and smoother than conditionals for causes, given their effects. We have recently proposed and tested methods…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-01-30 Dominik Janzing

We propose Kernel Predictive Control (KPC), a learning-based predictive control strategy that enjoys deterministic guarantees of safety. Noise-corrupted samples of the unknown system dynamics are used to learn several models through the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-24 Emilio T. Maddalena , Paul Scharnhorst , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

Causal processes in nature may contain cycles, and real datasets may violate causal sufficiency as well as contain selection bias. No constraint-based causal discovery algorithm can currently handle cycles, latent variables and selection…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-08 Eric V. Strobl

We develop a novel identification strategy as well as a new estimator for context-dependent causal inference in non-parametric triangular models with non-separable disturbances. Departing from the common practice, our analysis does not rely…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-09 Nir Billfeld , Moshe Kim

Understanding the laws that govern a phenomenon is the core of scientific progress. This is especially true when the goal is to model the interplay between different aspects in a causal fashion. Indeed, causal inference itself is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-27 Alessio Zanga , Elif Ozkirimli , Fabio Stella

We introduce Dagma-DCE, an interpretable and model-agnostic scheme for differentiable causal discovery. Current non- or over-parametric methods in differentiable causal discovery use opaque proxies of ``independence'' to justify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-05 Daniel Waxman , Kurt Butler , Petar M. Djuric

Causal discovery, i.e., learning the causal graph from data, is often the first step toward the identification and estimation of causal effects, a key requirement in numerous scientific domains. Causal discovery is hampered by two main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Ehsan Mokhtarian , Sepehr Elahi , Sina Akbari , Negar Kiyavash
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