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Inferring the parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from noisy observations is an important problem in many scientific fields. Currently, most parameter estimation methods that bypass numerical integration tend to rely on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-25 Mingwei Xu , Samuel W. K. Wong , Peijun Sang

Diffusion models, which convert noise into new data instances by learning to reverse a diffusion process, have become a cornerstone in contemporary generative modeling. In this work, we develop non-asymptotic convergence theory for a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-06 Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuejie Chi , Yuxin Chen

We consider parameter estimation of ordinary differential equation (ODE) models from noisy observations. For this problem, one conventional approach is to fit numerical solutions (e.g., Euler, Runge--Kutta) of ODEs to data. However, such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-01 Takeru Matsuda , Yuto Miyatake

Automated model discovery of partial differential equations (PDEs) usually considers a single experiment or dataset to infer the underlying governing equations. In practice, experiments have inherent natural variability in parameters,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-25 Georges Tod , Gert-Jan Both , Remy Kusters

Using the recently developed covariant Ito-Langevin dynamics, we develop a non-equilibrium thermodynamic theory for small systems coupled to multiplicative noises. The theory is based on Ito-calculus, and is fully covariant under…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-08-16 Mingnan Ding , Xiangjun Xing

The celebrated De Giorgi-Nash-Moser theory ensures that solutions to uniformly elliptic or parabolic PDEs are bounded and H\"older continuous, even with merely bounded measurable coefficients. For parabolic SPDEs with transport noise,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Antonio Agresti , Max Sauerbrey , Mark Veraar

We propose a method for learning linear models whose predictive performance is robust to causal interventions on unobserved variables, when noisy proxies of those variables are available. Our approach takes the form of a regularization term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-29 Michael Oberst , Nikolaj Thams , Jonas Peters , David Sontag

We develop an Euler-type method to predict the evolution of a time-dependent probability measure without explicitly learning an operator that governs its evolution. We use linearized optimal transport theory to prove that the measure-valued…

We prove a regularization by noise phenomenon for semilinear SPDEs driven by multiplicative cylindrical Brownian motion and singular diffusion coefficient. The analysis is based on a combination of infinite dimensional generalizations of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-03 Florian Bechtold , Fabian A. Harang

This paper considers estimating the parameters in a regime-switching stochastic differential equation(SDE) driven by Normal Inverse Gaussian(NIG) noise. The model under consideration incorporates a continuous-time finite state Markov chain…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

We consider reaction-diffusion equations that are stochastically forced by a small multiplicative noise term. We show that spectrally stable traveling wave solutions to the deterministic system retain their orbital stability if the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-03-09 Christian Hamster , Hermen Jan Hupkes

Unlike equilibrium statistical mechanics, with its well-established foundations, a similar widely-accepted framework for non-equilibrium statistical mechanics (NESM) remains elusive. Here, we review some of the many recent activities on…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-30 T. Chou , K. Mallick , R. K. P. Zia

This paper considers the problem of steering the state distribution of a nonlinear stochastic system from an initial Gaussian to a terminal distribution with a specified mean and covariance, subject to probabilistic path constraints. An…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-09-16 Jack Ridderhof , Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Stochastic evolution equations with compensated Poisson noise are considered in the variational approach with monotone and coercive coefficients. Here the Poisson noise is assumed to be time-homogeneous with $\sigma$-finite intensity…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-20 Sima Mehri , Erfan Salavati , Bijan Z. Zangeneh

This paper studies an optimization-based state estimation approach for discrete-time nonlinear systems under bounded process and measurement disturbances. We first introduce a full information estimator (FIE), which is given as a solution…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-03-18 Wuhua Hu , Lihua Xie , Keyou You

Stochastic approximation is a class of algorithms that update a vector iteratively, incrementally, and stochastically, including, e.g., stochastic gradient descent and temporal difference learning. One fundamental challenge in analyzing a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-06 Shuze Daniel Liu , Shuhang Chen , Shangtong Zhang

A nonintrusive model order reduction method for bilinear stochastic differential equations with additive noise is proposed. A reduced order model (ROM) is designed in order to approximate the statistical properties of high-dimensional…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-11 M. A. Freitag , J. M. Nicolaus , M. Redmann

The traffic matrix estimation (TME) problem has been widely researched for decades of years. Recent progresses in deep generative models offer new opportunities to tackle TME problems in a more advanced way. In this paper, we leverage the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Xinyu Yuan , Yan Qiao , Pei Zhao , Rongyao Hu , Benchu Zhang

Estimating individualized treatment effects (ITEs) from observational data is crucial for decision-making. In order to obtain unbiased ITE estimates, a common assumption is that all confounders are observed. However, in practice, it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Milan Kuzmanovic , Tobias Hatt , Stefan Feuerriegel

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby