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The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

We consider settings in which the data of interest correspond to pairs of ordered times, e.g, the birth times of the first and second child, the times at which a new user creates an account and makes the first purchase on a website, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-19 Tamara Fernández , Wenkai Xu , Marc Ditzhaus , Arthur Gretton

We develop a new permutation test for inference on a subvector of coefficients in linear models. The test is exact when the regressors and the error terms are independent. Then, we show that the test is asymptotically of correct level,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-13 Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Purevdorj Tuvaandorj

All models may be wrong -- but that is not necessarily a problem for inference. Consider the standard $t$-test for the significance of a variable $X$ for predicting response $Y$ whilst controlling for $p$ other covariates $Z$ in a random…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-20 Rajen D. Shah , Peter Bühlmann

We introduce the Conditional Independence Regression CovariancE (CIRCE), a measure of conditional independence for multivariate continuous-valued variables. CIRCE applies as a regularizer in settings where we wish to learn neural features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-20 Roman Pogodin , Namrata Deka , Yazhe Li , Danica J. Sutherland , Victor Veitch , Arthur Gretton

We consider the problem of testing independence in mixed-type data that combine count variables with positive, absolutely continuous variables. We first introduce two distinct classes of test statistics in the bivariate setting, designed to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Dana Bucalo Jelić , Marija Cuparić , Bojana Milošević

This paper introduces a statistical test inferring whether a variable allows separating two classes by means of a single critical value. Its test statistic is the prediction error of a nonparametric threshold classifier. While this approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-17 Fabian Schroeder

Conditional independence (CI) testing is frequently used in data analysis and machine learning for various scientific fields and it forms the basis of constraint-based causal discovery. Oftentimes, CI testing relies on strong, rather…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Wiebke Günther , Urmi Ninad , jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Conditional mean independence (CMI) testing is crucial for statistical tasks including model determination and variable importance evaluation. In this work, we introduce a novel population CMI measure and a bootstrap-based testing procedure…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-30 Yi Zhang , Linjun Huang , Yun Yang , Xiaofeng Shao

We describe a data-efficient, kernel-based approach to statistical testing of conditional independence. A major challenge of conditional independence testing is to obtain the correct test level (the specified upper bound on the rate of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Roman Pogodin , Antonin Schrab , Yazhe Li , Danica J. Sutherland , Arthur Gretton

This paper examines the problem of nonparametric testing for the no-effect of a random covariate (or predictor) on a functional response. This means testing whether the conditional expectation of the response given the covariate is almost…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-25 Valentin Patilea , Cesar Sanchez-Sellero , Matthieu Saumard

Hypothesis testing is a useful statistical tool in determining whether a given model should be rejected based on a sample from the population. Sample data may contain sensitive information about individuals, such as medical information.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-03 Marco Gaboardi , Hyun woo Lim , Ryan Rogers , Salil Vadhan

Calibration tests based on the probability integral transform (PIT) are routinely used to assess the quality of univariate distributional forecasts. However, PIT-based calibration tests for multivariate distributional forecasts face various…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-13 Malte Knüppel , Fabian Krüger , Marc-Oliver Pohle

We introduce nonparametric tests of independence for bivariate circular data based on trigonometric moments. Our contributions lie in (i) proposing nonparametric tests that are locally and asymptotically optimal against bivariate cosine von…

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Motivated by the importance of measuring the association between the response and predictors in high dimensional data, In this article, we propose a new mean variance test of independence between a categorical random variable and a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-01 Hengjian Cui , Wei Zhong

This paper introduces an innovative method for conducting conditional independence testing in high-dimensional data, facilitating the automated discovery of significant associations within distinct subgroups of a population, all while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Matteo Sesia , Tianshu Sun

We study the problems of sequential nonparametric two-sample and independence testing. Sequential tests process data online and allow using observed data to decide whether to stop and reject the null hypothesis or to collect more data,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-21 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper proposes a nonparametric test of pairwise independence of one random variable from a large pool of other random variables. The test statistic is the maximum of several Chatterjee's rank correlations and critical values are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Mauricio Olivares , Tomasz Olma , Daniel Wilhelm

Conditional independence tests are crucial across various disciplines in determining the independence of an outcome variable $Y$ from a treatment variable $X$, conditioning on a set of confounders $Z$. The Conditional Randomization Test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Bowen Xu , Yiwen Huang , Chuan Hong , Shuangning Li , Molei Liu