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相关论文: Data-Driven Forecasting of High-Dimensional Chaoti…

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The goal of this paper is to analyze Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks from a dynamical system perspective. The classical recursive equations describing the evolution of LSTM can be recast in state space form, resulting in a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-29 Fabio Bonassi , Enrico Terzi , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Generating accurate and reliable sales forecasts is crucial in the E-commerce business. The current state-of-the-art techniques are typically univariate methods, which produce forecasts considering only the historical sales data of a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-13 Kasun Bandara , Peibei Shi , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

This paper analyzes the stability-related properties of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and investigates their use as the model of the plant in the design of Model Predictive Controllers (MPC). First, sufficient conditions…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-31 Enrico Terzi , Fabio Bonassi , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Traffic prediction is necessary not only for management departments to dispatch vehicles but also for drivers to avoid congested roads. Many traffic forecasting methods based on deep learning have been proposed in recent years, and their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-12 Jichen Wang , Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Chunzi Tian

Complex chaotic dynamics, seen in natural and industrial systems like turbulent flows and weather patterns, often span vast spatial domains with interactions across scales. Accurately capturing these features requires a high-dimensional…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2024-10-03 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

A chaotic system is a highly volatile system characterized by its sensitive dependence on initial conditions and outside factors. Chaotic systems are prevalent throughout the world today: in weather patterns, disease outbreaks, and even…

Reduced rank nonlinear filters are increasingly utilized in data assimilation of geophysical flows, but often require a set of ensemble forward simulations to estimate forecast covariance. On the other hand, predictor-corrector type nudging…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-26 Suraj Pawar , Shady E. Ahmed , Omer San , Adil Rasheed , Ionel M. Navon

We examine the efficiency of Recurrent Neural Networks in forecasting the spatiotemporal dynamics of high dimensional and reduced order complex systems using Reservoir Computing (RC) and Backpropagation through time (BPTT) for gated network…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-19 Pantelis R. Vlachas , Jaideep Pathak , Brian R. Hunt , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott , Petros Koumoutsakos

To predict the future evolution of dynamical systems purely from observations of the past data is of great potential application. In this work, a new formulated paradigm of reservoir computing is proposed for achieving model-free…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-10-27 Zhuo Liu , Leisheng Jin

This paper develops an approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems by integrating probabilistic input forecasting with physics-informed output prediction. Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems is important for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Mahdi Nasiri , Johanna Kortelainen , Simo Särkkä

Accurate and reliable traffic forecasting for complicated transportation networks is of vital importance to modern transportation management. The complicated spatial dependencies of roadway links and the dynamic temporal patterns of traffic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Xiaolei Ma , Yi Li , Zhiyong Cui , Yinhai Wang

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a recurrent neural network (RNN) architecture that has been designed to address the vanishing and exploding gradient problems of conventional RNNs. Unlike feedforward neural networks, RNNs have cyclic…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2014-02-06 Haşim Sak , Andrew Senior , Françoise Beaufays

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig

Long short-term memory (LSTM) is one of the robust recurrent neural network architectures for learning sequential data. However, it requires considerable computational power to learn and implement both software and hardware aspects. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-13 Nelly Elsayed , Zag ElSayed , Anthony S. Maida

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for collision avoidance in autonomous driving and robot navigation. However, predicting a pedestrian's trajectory in crowded environments is non-trivial as it is influenced by other pedestrians'…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-02-15 Sirin Haddad , Meiqing Wu , He Wei , Siew Kei Lam

With the increasing availability and affordability of personal robots, they will no longer be confined to large corporate warehouses or factories but will instead be expected to operate in less controlled environments alongside larger…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Rashmi Bhaskara , Maurice Chiu , Aniket Bera

Estimating value-at-risk on time series data with possibly heteroscedastic dynamics is a highly challenging task. Typically, we face a small data problem in combination with a high degree of non-linearity, causing difficulties for both…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-07-22 Weronika Ormaniec , Marcin Pitera , Sajad Safarveisi , Thorsten Schmidt

Long Short Term Memory networks (LSTMs) are used to build single models that predict river discharge across many catchments. These models offer greater accuracy than models trained on each catchment independently if using the same data.…

Machine learning methods trained on raw numerical time series data exhibit fundamental limitations such as a high sensitivity to the hyper parameters and even to the initialization of random weights. A combination of a recurrent neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-13 Steven Elsworth , Stefan Güttel

Recurrent Neural Networks and in particular Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks have demonstrated state-of-the-art accuracy in several emerging Artificial Intelligence tasks. However, the models are becoming increasingly demanding in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-01-10 Michalis Rizakis , Stylianos I. Venieris , Alexandros Kouris , Christos-Savvas Bouganis