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相关论文: Data-driven forecasting of solar irradiance

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This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

The energy output a photo voltaic(PV) panel is a function of solar irradiation and weather parameters like temperature and wind speed etc. A general measure for solar irradiation called Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), customarily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-01 Bhaskar Pratim Mukhoty , Vikas Maurya , Sandeep Kumar Shukla

This paper proposes to use a rather new modelling approach in the realm of solar radiation forecasting. In this work, two forecasting models: Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Neural Network (NN) models are combined to form a model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-03-27 Philippe Lauret , Auline Rodler , Marc Muselli , Mathieu David , Hadja Diagne , Cyril Voyant

The growing proliferation in solar deployment, especially at distribution level, has made the case for power system operators to develop more accurate solar forecasting models. This paper proposes a solar photovoltaic (PV) generation…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-10-12 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

We describe a simple and succinct methodology to develop hourly auto-regressive moving average (ARMA) models to forecast power output from a photovoltaic solar generator. We illustrate how to build an ARMA model, to use statistical tests to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-12 Bismark Singh , David Pozo

Improving irradiance forecasting is critical to further increase the share of solar in the energy mix. On a short time scale, fish-eye cameras on the ground are used to capture cloud displacements causing the local variability of the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-26 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

Solar radiation prediction is an important challenge for the electrical engineer because it is used to estimate the power developed by commercial photovoltaic modules. This paper deals with the problem of solar radiation prediction based on…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2013-08-19 Giacomo Capizzi , Christian Napoli , Francesco Bonanno

We present a data-driven approach for forecasting global weather using graph neural networks. The system learns to step forward the current 3D atmospheric state by six hours, and multiple steps are chained together to produce skillful…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-02-16 Ryan Keisler

In order to enable the transition towards renewable energy sources, probabilistic energy forecasting is of critical importance for incorporating volatile power sources such as solar energy into the electrical grid. Solar energy forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Benedikt Schulz , Mehrez El Ayari , Sebastian Lerch , Sándor Baran

Solar energy forecasting has seen tremendous growth in the last decade using historical time series collected from a weather station, such as weather variables wind speed and direction, solar radiance, and temperature. It helps in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-18 Soham Vyas , Yuvraj Goyal , Neel Bhatt , Sanskar Bhuwania , Hardik Patel , Shakti Mishra , Brijesh Tripathi

It is assumed that the solar cell efficiency of PV device is closely related to the solar irradiance, considered the solar parameter Global Solar Irradiance (G) and the meteorological parameters like daily data of Earth Skin Temperature…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-06-08 Kashif Bin Zaheer , Waseem Ahmed Ansari , Syed Mohammad Murshid Raza

Renewable energy forecasting is attaining greater importance due to its constant increase in contribution to the electrical power grids. Solar energy is one of the most significant contributors to renewable energy and is dependent on solar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 V. Gunasekaran , K. K. Kovi , S. Arja , R. Chimata

This study addresses the prediction of geomagnetic disturbances by exploiting machine learning techniques. Specifically, the Long-Short Term Memory recurrent neural network, which is particularly suited for application over long time…

Ground-based whole sky cameras are extensively used for localized monitoring of clouds nowadays. They capture hemispherical images of the sky at regular intervals using a fisheye lens. In this paper, we propose a framework for estimating…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-14 Soumyabrata Dev , Florian M. Savoy , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Space weather predictions of the solar wind impacting Earth are usually first based on remote-sensing observations of the solar disc and corona, and eventually validated and/or refined with in-situ measurements taken at the Sun$-$Earth…

空间物理 · 物理学 2025-11-12 Erika Palmerio

We study short-term prediction of wind speed and wind power (every 10 minutes up to 4 hours ahead). Accurate forecasts for these quantities are crucial to mitigate the negative effects of wind farms' intermittent production on energy…

This paper presents a machine learning-based approach for predicting solar power generation with high accuracy using a 99% AUC (Area Under the Curve) metric. The approach includes data collection, pre-processing, feature selection, model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-15 E. Subramanian , M. Mithun Karthik , G Prem Krishna , D. Vaisnav Prasath , V. Sukesh Kumar

Solar energy is one of the most economical and clean sustainable energy sources on the planet. However, the solar energy throughput is highly unpredictable due to its dependency on a plethora of conditions including weather, seasons, and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-02-21 Nirupam Bidikar , Kotoju Rajitha , P. Usha Supriya

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski