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相关论文: Data-driven semi-parametric detection of multiple …

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We propose a new sequential procedure to detect change in the parameters of a process $ X= (X_t)_{t\in \Z}$ belonging to a large class of causal models (such as AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$), ARMA-GARCH processes). The…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-02-12 Jean-Marc Bardet , William Chakry Kengne

In this paper we study online change point detection in dynamic networks with time heterogeneous missing pattern within networks and dependence across the time course. The missingness probabilities, the entrywise sparsity of networks, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-24 Haotian Xu , Paromita Dubey , Yi Yu

Large-scale sequential data is often exposed to some degree of inhomogeneity in the form of sudden changes in the parameters of the data-generating process. We consider the problem of detecting such structural changes in a high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-15 Florencia Leonardi , Peter Bühlmann

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

Parametric sensitivity analysis is a critical component in the study of mathematical models of physical systems. Due to its simplicity, finite difference methods are used extensively for this analysis in the study of stochastically modeled…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-09-03 David F. Anderson , Chaojie Yuan

Existing drift detection methods focus on designing sensitive test statistics. They treat the detection threshold as a fixed hyperparameter, set once to balance false alarms and late detections, and applied uniformly across all datasets and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Pengqian Lu , Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , En Yu , Guangquan Zhang

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

There exists a large body of work on online drift detection with the goal of dynamically finding and maintaining changes in data streams. In this paper, we adopt a query-based approach to drift detection. Our approach relies on {\em a drift…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-05-16 Sofia Kleisarchaki , Sihem Amer-Yahia , Ahlame Douzal-Chouakria , Vassilis Christophides

We present both offline and online maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) techniques for inferring the static parameters of a multiple target tracking (MTT) model with linear Gaussian dynamics. We present the batch and online versions of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-10-09 Sinan Yildirim , Lan Jiang , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Tom Dean

Traditional methods for inference in change point detection often rely on a large number of observed data points and can be inaccurate in non-asymptotic settings. With the rise of mobile health and digital phenotyping studies, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Ian Barnett

This paper proposes a regularized pairwise difference approach for estimating the linear component coefficient in a partially linear model, with consistency and exact rates of convergence obtained in high dimensions under mild scaling…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-15 Fang Han , Zhao Ren , Yuxin Zhu

The aim of online change-point detection is for a accurate, timely discovery of structural breaks. As data dimension outgrows the number of data in observation, online detection becomes challenging. Existing methods typically test only the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-17 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

We develop a mixture procedure to monitor parallel streams of data for a change-point that affects only a subset of them, without assuming a spatial structure relating the data streams to one another. Observations are assumed initially to…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-10 Yao Xie , David Siegmund

In change-point analysis, one aims at finding the locations of abrupt distributional changes (if any) in a sequence of multivariate observations. In this article, we propose some nonparametric methods based on averages of pairwise distances…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Spandan Ghoshal , Bilol Banerjee , Anil K. Ghosh

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

We propose a test for a change in the mean for a sequence of functional observations that are only partially observed on subsets of the domain, with no information available on the complement. The framework accommodates important scenarios,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Šárka Hudecová , Claudia Kirch

In modern scientific experiments, we frequently encounter data that have large dimensions, and in some experiments, such high dimensional data arrive sequentially rather than full data being available all at a time. We develop multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-09 Rahul Roy , Shyamal K. De , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Inferring the causal direction between two variables from their observation data is one of the most fundamental and challenging topics in data science. A causal direction inference algorithm maps the observation data into a binary value…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-08 Yulai Zhang , Jiachen Wang , Gang Cen , Guiming Luo