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This article considers causal inference for treatment contrasts from a randomized experiment using potential outcomes in a finite population setting. Adopting a Neymanian repeated sampling approach that integrates such causal inference with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-17 Rahul Mukerjee , Tirthankar Dasgupta , Donald B. Rubin

Design-based causal inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population causal inference, is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks, largely due to the merit that its validity can be guaranteed by study design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Siyu Heng , Jiawei Zhang , Yang Feng

Spatial small area estimation models have become very popular in some contexts, such as disease mapping. Data in disease mapping studies are exhaustive, that is, the available data are supposed to be a complete register of all the…

We consider the problem of selective inference after solving a (randomized) convex statistical learning program in the form of a penalized or constrained loss function. Our first main result is a change-of-measure formula that describes…

Bayesian analysis is increasingly popular for use in social science and other application areas where the data are observations from an informative sample. An informative sampling design leads to inclusion probabilities that are correlated…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-07 Terrance D. Savitsky , Daniell Toth

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Conformal prediction is an assumption-lean approach to generating distribution-free prediction intervals or sets, for nearly arbitrary predictive models, with guaranteed finite-sample coverage. Conformal methods are an active research topic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Jerzy Wieczorek

The aim of this paper is to provide a resampling technique that allows us to make inference on superpopulation parameters in finite population setting. Under complex sampling designs, it is often difficult to obtain explicit results about…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-24 Pier Luigi Conti , Alberto Di Iorio

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

We present a new method in problems where estimates are needed for finite population domains with small or even zero sample sizes. In contrast to known estimation methods, an auxiliary information is used to model sizes of population units…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-23 Andrius Čiginas , Tomas Rudys

Non-probability samples become increasingly popular in survey statistics but may suffer from selection biases that limit the generalizability of results to the target population. We consider integrating a non-probability sample with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim , Rui Song

Collecting genomics data across multiple heterogeneous populations (e.g., across different cancer types) has the potential to improve our understanding of disease. Despite sequencing advances, though, resources often remain a constraint…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-05 Yunyi Shen , Lorenzo Masoero , Joshua G. Schraiber , Tamara Broderick

Coevolving and competing species or game-theoretic strategies exhibit rich and complex dynamics for which a general theoretical framework based on finite populations is still lacking. Recently, an explicit mean-field description in the form…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

The problem of estimating a proportion of objects with particular attribute in a finite population is considered. This paper shows an example of the application of estimation fraction using new proposed sample allocation in a population…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-19 Dominik Sieradzki , Wojciech Zieliński

Biased sampling designs can be highly efficient when studying rare (binary) or low variability (continuous) endpoints. We consider longitudinal data settings in which the probability of being sampled depends on a repeatedly measured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-14 Lee S. McDaniel , Jonathan S. Schildcrout , Enrique F. Schisterman , Paul J. Rathouz

Group sequential designs drive innovation in clinical, industrial, and corporate settings. Early stopping for failure in sequential designs conserves experimental resources, whereas early stopping for success accelerates access to improved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Luke Hagar , Shirin Golchi , Marina B. Klein

Two commonly arising computational tasks in Bayesian learning are Optimization (Maximum A Posteriori estimation) and Sampling (from the posterior distribution). In the convex case these two problems are efficiently reducible to each other.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-07 Kunal Talwar

Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-27 Michael D. Karcher , Julia A. Palacios , Trevor Bedford , Marc A. Suchard , Vladimir N. Minin