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A fundamental task in machine learning and related fields is to perform inference on Bayesian networks. Since exact inference takes exponential time in general, a variety of approximate methods are used. Gibbs sampling is one of the most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-23 Daniel Seita , Haoyu Chen , John Canny

Many psychological theories can be operationalized as linear inequality constraints on the parameters of multinomial distributions (e.g., discrete choice analysis). These constraints can be described in two equivalent ways: Either as the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Daniel W. Heck , Clintin P. Davis-Stober

This paper presents parallel-in-time state estimation methods for systems with Slow-Rate inTegrated Measurements (SRTM). Integrated measurements are common in various applications, and they appear in analysis of data resulting from…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-02 Fatemeh Yaghoobi , Simo Särkkä

Recent work raises concerns about the use of standard splits to compare natural language processing models. We propose a Bayesian statistical model comparison technique which uses k-fold cross-validation across multiple data sets to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-08 Piotr Szymański , Kyle Gorman

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

Comparison of appropriate models to describe observational data is a fundamental task of science. The Bayesian model evidence, or marginal likelihood, is a computationally challenging, yet crucial, quantity to estimate to perform Bayesian…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-11-10 A. Spurio Mancini , M. M. Docherty , M. A. Price , J. D. McEwen

In this paper we have proposed a median based estimator using known value of some population parameter(s) in simple random sampling. Various existing estimators are shown particular members of the proposed estimator. The bias and mean…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-15 Hemant K. Verma , Rajesh Singh , Florentin Smarandache

Audio signal processing algorithms are frequently assessed through subjective listening tests in which participants directly score degraded signals on a unidimensional numerical scale. However, this approach is susceptible to…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-26 Jack Webb , Lorenzo Picinali

We develop polynomial-time algorithms for near-optimal minimax mean estimation under $\ell_2$-squared loss in a Gaussian sequence model under convex constraints. The parameter space is an origin-symmetric, type-2 convex body $K \subset…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-27 Matey Neykov

Evaluating treatment effect heterogeneity across patient subgroups is a fundamental aspect of clinical trial analysis. Yet, these analyses have inherent limitations due to small sample sizes and the substantial number of subgroups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Marcel Wolbers , Miriam Pedrera Gómez , Alex Ocampo , Isaac Gravestock

This paper proposes a class of asymmetric priors to perform Bayesian wavelet shrinkage in the standard nonparametric regression model with Gaussian error. The priors are composed by mixtures of a point mass function at zero and one of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa

The main objective of this paper is to apply linear and pretest shrinkage estimation techniques to estimating the parameters of two 2-parameter Burr-XII distributions. Further more, predictions for future observations are made using both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-09 Soheila Akbari Bargoshadi , Hossein Bevrani

We develop a finite-sample optimal estimator for regression discontinuity design when the outcomes are bounded, including binary outcomes as the leading case. Our estimator achieves minimax mean squared error among linear shrinkage…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-29 Takuya Ishihara , Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Yata

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis

Divergence is not only an important mathematical concept in information theory, but also applied to machine learning problems such as low-dimensional embedding, manifold learning, clustering, classification, and anomaly detection. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wong

A common task in high-throughput biology is to test for differences in means between two samples across thousands of features (e.g., genes or proteins), often with only a handful of replicates per sample. Moderated t-tests handle this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Wanyi Ling , Wufang Hong , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Though mostly used as a clustering algorithm, k-means are originally designed as a quantization algorithm. Namely, it aims at providing a compression of a probability distribution with k points. Building upon [21, 33], we try to investigate…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-31 Clément Levrard

The Bayesian approach to machine learning amounts to computing posterior distributions of random variables from a probabilistic model of how the variables are related (that is, a prior distribution) and a set of observations of variables.…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2015-07-01 Johannes Borgström , Andrew D Gordon , Michael Greenberg , James Margetson , Jurgen Van Gael

In this paper, we apply shrinkage strategies to estimate regression coefficients efficiently for the high-dimensional multiple regression model, where the number of samples is smaller than the number of predictors. We assume in the sparse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-19 B. Yuzbasi , M. Arashi , S. E. Ahmed