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We present some stylized facts exhibited by the time series of returns of the Mexican Stock Exchange Index (IPC) and compare them to a sample of both developed (USA, UK and Japan) and emerging markets (Brazil and India). The period of study…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-12-11 Omar Rojas , Carlos Trejo-Pech

Corruptive behaviour in politics limits economic growth, embezzles public funds, and promotes socio-economic inequality in modern democracies. We analyse well-documented political corruption scandals in Brazil over the past 27 years,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-12-12 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Luiz G. A. Alves , Alvaro F. Martins , Ervin K. Lenzi , Matjaz Perc

Motivated by the challenge related to the COVID-19 epidemic and the seek for optimal containment strategies, we present a robustness analysis into an inter-cities mobility complex network. We abstract municipal initiatives as nodes'…

A complete understanding of real networks requires us to understand the consequences of the uneven interaction strengths between a system's components. Here we use the minimum spanning tree (MST) to explore the effect of weight assignment…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 P. J. Macdonald , E. Almaas , A. -L. Barabasi

This study analysed a series of live cattle spot and futures prices from the Boi Gordo Index (BGI) in Brazil. The objective was to develop a model that best portrays this commodity's behaviour to estimate futures prices more accurately. The…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-19 R. G. Alcoforado , W. Bernardino , A. D. Egídio dos Reis , J. A. C. Santos

In a system containing a large number of interacting stochastic processes, there will typically be many non-zero correlation coefficients. This makes it difficult to either visualize the system's inter-dependencies, or identify its dominant…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2011-09-06 Mark McDonald , Omer Suleman , Stacy Williams , Sam Howison , Neil F. Johnson

Online social networks offer a new way to investigate financial markets' dynamics by enabling the large-scale analysis of investors' collective behavior. We provide empirical evidence that suggests social media and stock markets have a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-03-02 Thársis T. P. Souza , Tomaso Aste

Following the value relevance literature, this study verifies whether the marketplace differentiates companies of high, medium, and low long-term operational performance, measured by accounting information on profitability, sales variation…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-07-30 M. S. S. Rosa , P. R. B. Lustosa

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Understanding how transportation networks work is important for improving connectivity, efficiency, and safety. In Brazil, where road transport is a significant portion of freight and passenger movement, network science can provide valuable…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-12-23 Julio Taveira , Fernando Buarque de Lima Neto , Ronaldo Menezes

This paper intends to explain Venezuela's country spread behavior through the Neural Networks analysis of a monthly economic activity general index of economic indicators constructed by the Central Bank of Venezuela, a measure of the shocks…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2007-08-28 Sabatino Costanzo , Loren Trigo , Ramses Dominguez , William Moreno

In the contemporary world, a significant number of people use social networking services for a variety of purposes, including, but not limited to, communicating, exchanging messages and searching for information. A popular social network in…

By using Random Matrix Theory, we build covariance matrices between stocks of the BM&F-Bovespa (Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de S\~ao Paulo) which are cleaned of some of the noise due to the complex interactions between the many…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2014-08-11 Leonidas Sandoval Junior , Adriana Bruscato , Maria Kelly Venezuela

The propagation of unreliable information is on the rise in many places around the world. This expansion is facilitated by the rapid spread of information and anonymity granted by the Internet. The spread of unreliable information is a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-06-11 Mauricio Gruppi , Benjamin D. Horne , Sibel Adali

In this paper we use the Brooks and Hinich cross-bicorrelation test in order to uncover nonlinear dependence periods between USA Standard and Poor 500 (SP500), used as benchmark, and six Latin American stock markets indexes: Mexico (BMV),…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-25 Semei Coronado , Omar Rojas , Rafael Romero-Meza , Francisco Venegas-Martinez

We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

In May 2024, weeks of severe rainfall in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil caused widespread damage to infrastructure, impacting over 400 cities and 2.3 million people. This study presents the construction of comprehensive telecommunications…

We consider the effects of the 2008 global financial crisis on the global stock market before, during, and after the crisis. We generate complex networks from a cross-correlation matrix such as the threshold network (TN) and the minimal…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-13 Jae Woo Lee , Ashadun Nobi

This paper is concerned with the reliable inference of optimal tree-approximations to the dependency structure of an unknown distribution generating data. The traditional approach to the problem measures the dependency strength between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-07-16 Marco Zaffalon , Marcus Hutter

Technical trading rules and linear regressive models are often used by practitioners to find trends in financial data. However, these models are unsuited to find non-linearly separable patterns. We propose a decision tree forecasting model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-17 Lucas Fievet , Didier Sornette