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Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are central in computational statistics, and typically rely on detailed balance to ensure invariance with respect to a target distribution. Although straightforward to construct by Metropolization, this can…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Erik Jansson , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer , Akash Sharma

We consider the nonlinear inverse problem of learning a transition operator $\mathbf{A}$ from partial observations at different times, in particular from sparse observations of entries of its powers…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Christian Kümmerle , Mauro Maggioni , Sui Tang

We present a scheme for sequential decision making with a risk-sensitive objective and constraints in a dynamic environment. A neural network is trained as an approximator of the mapping from parameter space to space of risk and policy with…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-07-10 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu , Ahmet Satir

Unsupervised learning with functional data is an emerging paradigm of machine learning research with applications to computer vision, climate modeling and physical systems. A natural way of modeling functional data is by learning operators…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Jacob H. Seidman , Georgios Kissas , George J. Pappas , Paris Perdikaris

In dynamic decision-making scenarios across business and healthcare, leveraging sample trajectories from diverse populations can significantly enhance reinforcement learning (RL) performance for specific target populations, especially when…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Jinhang Chai , Elynn Chen , Jianqing Fan

We study a variance reduction strategy based on control variables for simulating the averaged macroscopic behavior of a stochastic slow-fast system. We assume that this averaged behavior can be written in terms of a few slow degrees of…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-09-16 Ward Melis , Giovanni Samaey

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

Sampling from learned high-dimensional distributions is a foundational computational problem. We introduce U-turn chains: Markov chains obtained by iterating short forward-backward steps of a diffusion model, in which each step proposes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Hyunmo Kang , Noam Itzhak Levi , Corinna Elena Wegner , Daniel J. Korchinski , Matthieu Wyart

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Distribution-dependent stochastic dynamical systems arise widely in engineering and science. We consider a class of such systems which model the limit behaviors of interacting particles moving in a vector field with random fluctuations. We…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Jianyu Hu

We study dynamical reversibility in stationary stochastic processes from an information theoretic perspective. Extending earlier work on the reversibility of Markov chains, we focus on finitary processes with arbitrarily long conditional…

Cellular signaling networks have evolved to cope with intrinsic fluctuations, coming from the small numbers of constituents, and the environmental noise. Stochastic chemical kinetics equations govern the way biochemical networks process…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2009-11-13 Yueheng Lan , Peter G. Wolynes , Garegin A. Papoian

Stochastic processes have found numerous applications in science, as they are broadly used to model a variety of natural phenomena. Due to their intrinsic randomness and uncertainty, they are, however, difficult to characterize. Here, we…

Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-04-14 Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio

Gradient-regularized value learning methods improve sample efficiency by leveraging learned models of transition dynamics and rewards to estimate return gradients. However, existing approaches, such as MAGE, struggle in stochastic or noisy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Baptiste Debes , Tinne Tuytelaars

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become popular in statistics as versatile techniques to sample from complicated probability distributions. In this work, we propose a method to parameterize and train transition kernels of Markov chains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Evgenii Egorov , Ricardo Valperga , Efstratios Gavves

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

Estimating the transition dynamics of controlled Markov chains is crucial in fields such as time series analysis, reinforcement learning, and system exploration. Traditional non-parametric density estimation methods often assume independent…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-21 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak Rao , Harsha Honnappa