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We study Bayesian estimation of finite mixture models in a general setup where the number of components is unknown and allowed to grow with the sample size. An assumption on growing number of components is a natural one as the degree of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-18 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin

PyVBMC is a Python implementation of the Variational Bayesian Monte Carlo (VBMC) algorithm for posterior and model inference for black-box computational models (Acerbi, 2018, 2020). VBMC is an approximate inference method designed for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-29 Bobby Huggins , Chengkun Li , Marlon Tobaben , Mikko J. Aarnos , Luigi Acerbi

Robust Bayesian inference using density power divergence (DPD) has emerged as a promising approach for handling outliers in statistical estimation. Although the DPD-based posterior offers theoretical guarantees of robustness, its practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Naruki Sonobe , Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

It is shown that a simple Dirichlet process mixture of multivariate normals offers Bayesian density estimation with adaptive posterior convergence rates. Toward this, a novel sieve for non-parametric mixture densities is explored, and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-18 Surya T. Tokdar

This paper proposes a novel diffusion-based posterior sampling method within a plug-and-play (PnP) framework. Our approach constructs a probability transport from an easy-to-sample terminal distribution to the target posterior, using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Jinyuan Chang , Chenguang Duan , Yuling Jiao , Ruoxuan Li , Jerry Zhijian Yang , Cheng Yuan

Variational Bayesian (VB) methods produce posterior inference in a time frame considerably smaller than traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches. Although the VB posterior is an approximation, it has been shown to produce good…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-02 Nathaniel Tomasetti , Catherine S. Forbes , Anastasios Panagiotelis

To address three important issues involved in latent variable models (LVMs), including capturing infrequent patterns, achieving small-sized but expressive models and alleviating overfitting, several studies have been devoted to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-27 Pengtao Xie , Jun Zhu , Eric P. Xing

Shape modelling (with methods that output shapes) is a new and important task in Bayesian nonparametrics and bioinformatics. In this work, we focus on Bayesian nonparametric methods for capturing shapes by partitioning a space using curves.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Shufei Ge , Shijia Wang , Lloyd Elliott

This paper proposes Bayesian mosaic, a parallelizable composite posterior, for scalable Bayesian inference on a broad class of multivariate discrete data models. Sampling is embarrassingly parallel since Bayesian mosaic is a multiplication…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-03 Ye Wang , David Dunson

High-dimensional Bayesian optimization (BO) tasks such as molecular design often require 10,000 function evaluations before obtaining meaningful results. While methods like sparse variational Gaussian processes (SVGPs) reduce computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Natalie Maus , Kyurae Kim , Geoff Pleiss , David Eriksson , John P. Cunningham , Jacob R. Gardner

Bayesian methods have proved powerful in many applications for the inference of model parameters from data. These methods are based on Bayes' theorem, which itself is deceptively simple. However, in practice the computations required are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-10 Michael A. Chappell , Mark W. Woolrich

Multiscale modeling, which integrates material properties from ab initio calculations into continuum-scale simulations, is a promising strategy for optimizing semiconductor devices. However, a key challenge remains: while ab initio methods…

材料科学 · 物理学 2026-01-12 Taeyoung Jeong , Kun Hee Ye , Seungjae Yoon , Dohyun Kim , Yunjae Kim , Jung-Hae Choi

Many modern applications of Bayesian inference, such as in cosmology, are based on complicated forward models with high-dimensional parameter spaces. This considerably limits the sampling of posterior distributions conditioned on observed…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-09-17 Marco Raveri , Cyrille Doux , Shivam Pandey

Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification. We propose predictive variational inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Jinlin Lai , Antonio Linero , Yuling Yao

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

In this work, a method for obtaining pixel-wise error bounds in Bayesian regularization of inverse imaging problems is introduced. The proposed method employs estimates of the posterior variance together with techniques from conformal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-08-01 Dominik Narnhofer , Andreas Habring , Martin Holler , Thomas Pock

We investigate the posterior rate of convergence for wavelet shrinkage using a Bayesian approach in general Besov spaces. Instead of studying the Bayesian estimator related to a particular loss function, we focus on the posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-09-24 Heng Lian

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott